SC Megathread 2020: Graham Crackers, Cunning-Ham Sandwiches and Duncan Donuts

[Roll Roons]

Also the Lincoln Project released a new ad yesterday attacking Graham. Warning: it is the single most revolting political ad I've ever seen. It actually made me want to throw up.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrJsW3dZov0

[Roll Roons]

Could someone who knows the politics of South Carolina give me a guide to how close it could get?

Looking at previous Senate & Governor races it seems that the Democrats actually have a pretty high average of between 40-45%...

What I find interesting is that when both Senate seats were on the ballot in 2014, Lindsey won by 17 despite being a two-term incumbent, and Tim Scott won by 24 despite being an appointee who had never won statewide. What happened with that?

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1309303160603729921
This is third time this week Leningrad Lindsey has gone on Fox to beg for donations.

I wonder if that won't hurt him with Trump voters just because of how weak it makes him look.

The Harrison campaign really has some good ads going here against Graham.

https://twitter.com/MeidasTouch/status/1309494377744445441

That's actually a stellar ad. Might even depress the Trump/Graham vote if Harrison's lucky.

I was skeptical about Harrison for a long time, but he seems to be running a very good campaign. This is increasingly reminding me of TX-Sen 2018.

[Roll Roons]

I don't get why Graham is whining like that. Wasn't he supposed to have a huge war chest after two decades of uncompetitive races?

It also could go the other way - he's never felt the need to fundraise big because he's been safe until this year. Even then, I think he has a big war chest, but it's just that Harrison has been raising an insane amount from out of state liberals eager to see Graham defeated. Again, not unlike Beto.

[Roll Roons]

Graham is a pretty weak candidate it seems. Still, another Kavanaugh hearing style tantrum could seal the deal for him.

I think this cycle is proving what many people didn't want to believe: that people like Graham, and to a lesser extent Ernst, since she's newer, and really just not great candidates when it comes down to an actual competitive race. They've just been able to skate by because of polarization and the R next to their name.

Ernst seemed to be a pretty strong candidate in 2014 and if she was really weak she could have lost that race. To be fair though, Braley was a mess and alienated Iowa voters.

It seems like her campaign skills have really deteriorated this year. Same deal with McSally.

[Roll Roons]

Hahahahaha. Pulling a McCaskill! Even if he narrowly falls short, as I think he probably will, he really has run one of the strongest Senate campaigns this cycle. The Kander or Beto of this cycle.

[Roll Roons]

I really wonder how he'd be doing if he'd stayed a McCain-style maverick rather than turning into a Trump bootlicker.

[Roll Roons]

help me Lindsay Graham dot com help me I’m getting killed Lindsay Graham dot com five dollars ten dollars Lindsay Graham dot com won’t you please help me Benghazi

Is this a joke? If so, great ad, otherwise, Lindsey Graham truly is desperate.

Check the source.

[Roll Roons]

Unfortunately, I don't think that ad is playing anywhere, and it's not even publicly listed on YouTube.  You have to directly navigate to it.

Lincoln Project has been making a lot of money writing really good ads that they only run on the internet and the choir is their only audience.  I don't know how many Republicans in South Carolina will actually see this ad.

Don’t they run some of them in DC? Or maybe not many?

Yeah, they run ads in DC just to mess with Trump's head and throw him off his game.

[Roll Roons]

Between Lindsey, McSally and Ernst, who has embarrassed themself the most this cycle?

[Roll Roons]

Even if he doesn't win, he's easily run one of the strongest campaigns this cycle.