McGarnagle
SomethingPolitical
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,612
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« on: October 22, 2019, 01:35:50 AM » |
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« edited: October 22, 2019, 01:41:17 AM by SomethingPolitical »
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I wasn't expecting this result - I had assumed after the blackface scandal that Trudeau was finished and that Scheer would end up being Prime Minister. The Liberals won the most seats, but lost the popular vote.
I've noticed something - right now, the U.S., Canada and UK have leaders who either lost the popular vote in their most recent election (Trump, Trudeau), or never won a (general) election in the first place (Johnson).
All three also faced big scandals that normally would have sunk any candidate shortly before their election. Trump with the Access Hollywood tape in the weeks before the 2016 election, Trudeau with the blackface scandal last month, Johnson with domestic violence allegations in the run up to the Conservative leadership election.
If this trend continues, it might mean whoever wins in 2020 will have the biggest scandal news story in the weeks preceding the election. That would bode well for Trump despite his dismal polling right now - but I still don't think he'll be re-elected.
Edit: A year
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