Why is Katie Porter throwing away a house seat?

[Cyrusman]

Even if she advances to the general, I'd say she's a big underdog against Schiff. He has stronger name recognition, roots to CA, bigger donor base, more endorsements, and I could see him doing way better with GOP voters literally just cause he's a white man. Why give away a seat that is probably safe with her, but probably lean D with another Democrat, especially if the GOP nominates a strong candidate like Scott Baugh.

[Cyrusman]

Even if she advances to the general, I'd say she's a big underdog against Schiff. He has stronger name recognition, roots to CA, bigger donor base, more endorsements, and I could see him doing way better with GOP voters literally just cause he's a white man. Why give away a seat that is probably safe with her, but probably lean D with another Democrat, especially if the GOP nominates a strong candidate like Scott Baugh.

Nah, if she advances to the general, she’s the clear favorite

No she’s not.

Even if she advances to the general, I'd say she's a big underdog against Schiff. He has stronger name recognition, roots to CA, bigger donor base, more endorsements, and I could see him doing way better with GOP voters literally just cause he's a white man. Why give away a seat that is probably safe with her, but probably lean D with another Democrat, especially if the GOP nominates a strong candidate like Scott Baugh.

Baugh is a weak candidate who vastly underperformed Dahle in his seat.

Even so, Porter would throw her seat away to another Dem. Why?

[Cyrusman]

I looked a bit the senate campaing pages of both and it seems that Schiff is on the left of Porter on college education, while she is on the left of him on healthcare.

Considering Schiff strong anti-trumpism and the current republican base in California, 'republicans for Porter' doesn't seem the strangest idea.

I doubt it. Porter is known to fight for "progressives rights" is loved by young people, and is a women. All three hurt her with the GOP. Don't discount how big of a impact Schiff being a white strait male is.

Kevin De Leon was to the left of Dianne Feinstein in 2018 and did better with GOP voters.

[Cyrusman]

Also:

Even if she advances to the general, I'd say she's a big underdog against Schiff. He has stronger name recognition, roots to CA, bigger donor base, more endorsements, and I could see him doing way better with GOP voters literally just cause he's a white man. Why give away a seat that is probably safe with her, but probably lean D with another Democrat, especially if the GOP nominates a strong candidate like Scott Baugh.

This is not a thing. That's like saying that Democrats would be more likely to vote for the Republican in NY-03 because she's a black woman or that Republicans would be drawn to her opponent who was a white man...and clearly neither happened.

That's different. That's a D vs an R. This is a D vs a D. If your a republican, it's a no win situation, so you'll vote for the one thats demographic /vibe fits you're liking.

[Cyrusman]

So what's next for Porter?

-Try for her old seat in 2026 if Republicans flip it this year?
-Run in CA-40* in 2026? She lives just outside the borders of the district and represented much of it before redistricting.
-Run statewide. Gov, LG, AG (2030)?
-Run for a different county/state post? Not unheard of for former members of congress to take these well paying gigs.
-Retire for now from politics and go back to teaching?

*edited. Had wrong district.
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As a resident of Orange County, CA, hopefully this options. Still don't understanding her choice. Even though I dislike her, she would have easily won reelection.

[Cyrusman]

So what's next for Porter?

-Try for her old seat in 2026 if Republicans flip it this year?
-Run in CA-40* in 2026? She lives just outside the borders of the district and represented much of it before redistricting.
-Run statewide. Gov, LG, AG (2030)?
-Run for a different county/state post? Not unheard of for former members of congress to take these well paying gigs.
-Retire for now from politics and go back to teaching?

*edited. Had wrong district.

As a resident of Orange County, CA, hopefully this options. Still don't understanding her choice. Even though I dislike her, she would have easily won reelection.