GA SEN TRAFALGAR R POLL Warnock +1

[Cyrusman]

This is going to a runoff. I think Warnock will win the general but get under 50%. A runoff may be Walkers best bet at this point. His hope should be

- Force a runoff where the GOP already has a senate majority so the Dems aren't as motivated
- Allow more time to pass from the recent negative news he has received
- Hope the economy gets worse and worse and gas prices surge in the South