Why did so many people think Biden would inevitably "collapse"?

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He will in September. He can't hide in his basement forever. He will be exposed by the Trump campaign.

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He will in September. He can't hide in his basement forever. He will be exposed by the Trump campaign.

January 19th: "Here's how President-elect Biden can still collapse."

Can't wait for your excuses as to why Biden lost.

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Because he's the ultimate paper tiger.  Biden's strongest electability argument in 2020 will only ever be that he was "buddy buddy" with Obama for eight years.  His appeal is built entirely on that association (and the universal name recognition that came along with it).  There's nothing actually substantive there - no big policy agenda, no compelling life story, no great milestone his election would represent, etc.  It's not difficult to foresee a collapse when the house has no foundation, so to speak.

And, as other posters have pointed out, Biden did collapse.  Terrible performances in IA and NH (which is a good reason to bet Biden won't improve greatly in states like MI or WI).  What only saved his campaign was near-universal support among one of the most idiosyncratic American voting blocs (rural, older Black women in the South).

Biden's polling lead vs Trump is stagnant right now because the campaign (and Biden himself) aren't in the news.  That won't remain the case into the fall.  Just like Iowa and New Hampshire, the more of Joe Biden voters see the less they'll like him.

Bingo and his numbers are already coming down after the comment he made last week. You are already seeing a tightening.

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And, as other posters have pointed out, Biden did collapse.  Terrible performances in IA and NH (which is a good reason to bet Biden won't improve greatly in states like MI or WI).  What only saved his campaign was near-universal support among one of the most idiosyncratic American voting blocs (rural, older Black women in the South).

THANK YOU WHITES!

Biden's polling lead vs Trump is stagnant right now because the campaign (and Biden himself) aren't in the news.  That won't remain the case into the fall.  Just like Iowa and New Hampshire, the more of Joe Biden voters see the less they'll like him.

But voters saw a lot of Joe Biden, on TV that is, for three days before Super Tuesday, and then he went on to massively outperform expectations literally everywhere?

I'm not sure that I buy into the whole "once the campaign REALLY begins, Biden is finished."

Yes, he's a gaffe machine.  And I'm sure he has still-hidden skeletons in his closet.  But it's not as though he's a grassroots political unknown.  

It's not the "gaffes" I believe the more he gets out and does interviews, debates, rallies the more his unfitness will surface. It's easy to just be that generic dem when you're in your basement. Also the fact that he is a career politician is going to hurt him especially with WWC voters who do not like establishment types.