McMullin Voters 2020

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My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

[SN2903]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Disapproval doesn't mean they won't vote for him. The democrats leftward movement is gonna consolidate the right and right leaners. I don't think third party vote will be very high at all in 2020.

[SN2903]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Anectdote, but I, along with many others I know, disapprove of the President. Doesn't mean I won't vote for him.

This is a big part of the reason why I think Trump will win re-election: "I don't approve of him.  He's crass and he's crude, but I will vote for him over any Democrat."  

Yep Democrats are misreading the approval rating numbers. Also he is at 45-46% in many polls which isn't bad. If you take maybe the 5% that do not "approve of him" but will vote for him over a democrat Trump could easily get 50-51 % in 2020.

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If there's no McMullin-type choice on the ballot, and if the Dem nominee is not Pete Buttigieg, I just won't vote. Speaking just for myself, that is.

Not voting helps Trump though. Just saying.