Does Trump have a path without Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin? (user search)
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  Does Trump have a path without Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Does Trump have a path without Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin?  (Read 1043 times)
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« on: August 20, 2018, 10:06:13 AM »
« edited: August 21, 2018, 12:16:24 AM by SN2903 »

The map below would be 270-268 R, but very unlikely to happen. If Trump loses PA/WI/MI, he's basically done. He coudn't even afford a faithless elector.


He has a path without MI and Wisconsin which is Florida, Ohio and PA. It would be tough without all 3 but if the dems pick someone hard left that appeals to more white working class voters he could maybe win Nevada, New Hampshire and Maine. Virginia is a longshot but not impossible if dems go goes hard left.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2018, 12:19:15 AM »

No. If he loses all 3 he's done for. But he has a better chance in all 3 than Atlas thinks.
Yep and I have a weird feeling Wisconsin will be to the left of Michigan in 2020. I think Michigan just fits Trump really well as state esp counties like Macomb and Monroe. I think Trump takes PA and MI in 2020 and probably narrowily loses Wisconsin.
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