Millennials are not getting more conservative as they age

[Xeuma]

OSR in shambles

In all seriousness, this shouldn't be a surprise. The GOP offers absolutely nothing to voters under 40 unless they're extremely religious or extremely wealthy.

Actual election data from 2008-2020 shows they undeniably have though or even 2012-2020.

Also the Gen X numbers don't seem right given Reagan did better with them than he did nationally in 1984 and Bush did around the same

Could you produce this electoral evidence? My suspicion is that you're right, or at least less wrong than the average Atlas opinion, but I'm curious as to the real data. Has there been a real shift on college campuses, for example?

[Xeuma]

OSR in shambles

In all seriousness, this shouldn't be a surprise. The GOP offers absolutely nothing to voters under 40 unless they're extremely religious or extremely wealthy.

Actual election data from 2008-2020 shows they undeniably have though or even 2012-2020.

Also the Gen X numbers don't seem right given Reagan did better with them than he did nationally in 1984 and Bush did around the same

Could you produce this electoral evidence? My suspicion is that you're right, or at least less wrong than the average Atlas opinion, but I'm curious as to the real data. Has there been a real shift on college campuses, for example?

I am not talking about young voters in 2008/2012 vs young voters now but rather how young voters from both cycles are voting now. Unfortunately the CNN pages for both 2008/2012 is broken now as CNN does a good job breaking the 30-44 demographic into 30-39 as well.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics

Obama in 2012 won voters 18-29 by around 23 points(In 2008 it was 34)

In 2020 votes aged 30-39 voted for Biden by 5 points

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics

That does show an absolute decrease in % voting for Democrats. I wonder if it stands as a relative measure too, i.e. if we were to calculate a "generational PVI". Only then can we talk about a generation trending a certain way in the same sense as a district or state doing the same.