The fight to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg megathread

[Ferguson97]

Trump's nominee gets passed with 50 votes + Pence breaking the tie.

I can't think of anything worse for this country than an outgoing VP breaking the tie on a SCOTUS nomination for a lameduck President.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1307382999160414213

51-42? So basically the average Biden-Trump poll.

This country is so f-cked.

[Ferguson97]

Democrats once again can’t accept a loss, don’t understand why they lose, call it illegitimate which leads to no self reflection. This refusal to accept reality is now an inherent problem within the Democratic Party.

Just admit all you care about is getting conservatives on the supreme court. Just be honest.

[Ferguson97]

So correct me if I’m wrong but I see four scenarios:

A conservative justice is confirmed, Biden is elected President
A conservative justice is confirmed, Trump is elected President
Biden is elected, a conservative justice is confirmed
Trump is elected, a conservative justice is confirmed

All four scenarios get us a 6-3 conservative court. We need to suck it up and take it. They won’t overturn marriage equality, and John Roberts has been a pretty swingy vote. Try and be optimistic.

Okay, you're wrong:

4 Republican Senators refuse to confirm a lame duck appointment, Biden is elected President, a liberal justice is confirmed

It's more likely that Jo Jorgensen wins the election than 4 Republican Senators refusing to vote for a nominee.

[Ferguson97]

So correct me if I’m wrong but I see four scenarios:

A conservative justice is confirmed, Biden is elected President
A conservative justice is confirmed, Trump is elected President
Biden is elected, a conservative justice is confirmed
Trump is elected, a conservative justice is confirmed

All four scenarios get us a 6-3 conservative court. We need to suck it up and take it. They won’t overturn marriage equality, and John Roberts has been a pretty swingy vote. Try and be optimistic.

Okay, you're wrong:

4 Republican Senators refuse to confirm a lame duck appointment, Biden is elected President, a liberal justice is confirmed

It's more likely that Jo Jorgensen wins the election than 4 Republican Senators refusing to vote for a nominee.

It really isn't, no, given Collins/Murkowski are already confirmed, Romney is likely, & Grassley/Alexander are very possible. Funny attempt at a joke, though.

Collins and Murkowski are lying.

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1307715357982023680

Murkowski will vote yes on a lameduck confirmation.

And when Susan Collins loses re-election, she will also vote yes because she will have nothing to lose.

[Ferguson97]

Collins and Murkowski are a no. Now they just have to work on convincing their colleagues. The Democrats should offer something like lowering prescription drug prices and sending cash to seniors in exchange for a more moderate nominee.

What do Republicans get out of this? Both parties want to lower prescription drug prices.

[Ferguson97]

https://www.foxnews.com/media/meghan-mccain-kavanaugh-democrats-scotus

Credible rape accusations are not a "smear"

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/senatorromney/status/1308403638897958914

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/Jamie_Weinstein/status/1308227292884336643

Bork was a crook. Why is this the hill the GOP wants to die on? I don't understand.

[Ferguson97]

The group of GOP Senators which has not yet come out in favour of the nomination currently stands at:

Bill Cassidy
John N. Kennedy
Ben Sasse
Tim Scott
Dan Sullivan

They all will

[Ferguson97]

I'm still eagerly waiting for any Republicans here to tell me why a Saturday Night Massacare participant should be on the Supreme Court.

[Ferguson97]

Almost all key 2020 Dems come out in opposition to packing.

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1308900152095145985?s=21

Could be the plan is for the hearings to “change their minds” or whatever, but obviously that’s Dems’ only hope at this point

If folks think this opposition is gonna hold past Election Day, I have some beachfront property in Kansas to sell you.

I'd still be shocked if a bunch of moderate Democrats decide to pack the court.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/IanSams/status/1309586996952813570

There goes the ACA.

Can't wait to lose my healthcare before I can even find a job during this recession :/

[Ferguson97]

If Pence is acting president can he still tie break or does that go to Pelosi?

The vice presidency would be vacant. To confirm a new one, you need a majority yes vote from the House and the Senate. Not a chance would the House confirm a new VP.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/ariberman/status/1316131227204755456

[Ferguson97]

I hope some dem senators will look at her in the eyes and say: "you think we're going to let you sit on this court for 30-40 years? You thought wrong. We will remove you from this court somehow some way".

There is no mechanism for them to do this.

[Ferguson97]

Congratulations to Justice Amy Coney Barrett!  Let's all pray that God will use this confirmation to end the senseless tragedy of abortion in our nation!!

I hope you cry when Biden packs the court and guarantees abortion rights nationwide.

[Ferguson97]

Congratulations to Justice Amy Coney Barrett!  Let's all pray that God will use this confirmation to end the senseless tragedy of abortion in our nation!!

I hope you cry when Biden packs the court and guarantees abortion rights nationwide.

Good luck getting the likes of Joe Manchin to go with court packing, even if the Democrats narrowly take the Senate.  And, if you somehow do, the GOP trifecta will pack it right back in 2025.

We're going to win in 2024. And 2028. Enjoy 12 years of Democratic Presidents.