Bold Predictions for November (user search)

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2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)

Bold Predictions for November (search mode)

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Topic: Bold Predictions for November (Read 11964 times)

Bomster
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,018

Political Matrix
E: -5.13, S: -7.95

Re: Bold Predictions for November

« on: May 23, 2020, 09:27:33 PM »

Quote from: Vern on May 23, 2020, 03:06:25 PM

Quote from: Cory Booker on May 23, 2020, 01:57:27 PM

Quote from: Fire and Fury on May 23, 2020, 01:50:18 PM

-Trump wins Iowa by 15 points (53-38)
-Trump wins Ohio by 8 points (52-44)
-AZ votes to left of PA, but still votes R
-Biden loses PA by 3-5 points
-Biden struggles in NV and wins by 2-3 points
-Trump wins ME-02 by 20 points

No, every poll has Trump.losing by 5 to 10 even in Fox

That also was true in 2016. But Trump still won even when the polls said he was going to lose big time.

The polls got Hillary’s numbers right, it’s just that undecided voters broke hard for Trump after the Comey Letter.

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Bomster
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,018

Political Matrix
E: -5.13, S: -7.95

Re: Bold Predictions for November

« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2020, 12:46:33 AM »

This is what my election calculator is predicting right now with the current statewide polling averages, Trump's current approval and disapproval rating, and the PVIs for both 2016 and 2018. Biden wins by an 8.3% margin.

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