My 18-10 Map:
24,21,27 are Hispanic VAP Majority. 22,23 are black VAP plurality (~45%)
16 is a Hispanic VRA at 49% Hispanic VAP. 20 is Hispanic Opportunity at 43.7%-43.6% white-hispanic VAP.
5 should keep Lawson decently happy, it is 45.6% White, 41.8% Black on VAP and a 44.5% Black Plurality on Total Population
Rs would be set to get 4 seats in the Miami-Palm Beach Area vs 3. 20, 28, 21 would be taken by existing incumbents and 27 is the "added district" and would elect a new R. The area would continue to have 5 democrat-occupied districts, though the 24th could flip in an R wave.
The other 5 Dems are Lawson, Crist, Castor, and the two Orlando-Area Sinks.
Stephanie Murphy is pretty dead, no matter where she would decide to run here. The new 7th is 59% Trump. Other options are better but not great - The 4th is Trump +7 and the 13th is Trump +5.
There is a half-hearted attempt to go after Kathy Castor in what I re-numbered as the 12th, but it is still Biden +1 and trending D so it probably holds for her.
This would obviously never pass the fair maps law
Far from clear the FLSC would care. It's 7 GOP judges, a majority of which were appointed by Scott or DeSantis. Probably they would do what DeSantis wants. The state GOP is very weak in its proposals of a status quo map.
We actually already know the answer to this. They
do care. The whole reason the GOP is drawing rather status quo, fair-ish maps when they could easily be brutal is
because of fear of the courts. They've been very vocal about how they don't want to get in trouble with them.
If it were really just as simple as "Oh they're all Scott and DeSantis appointees, of course they'd greenlight anything", then the GOP would just draw a gerrymander.
