Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (user search)
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  Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)  (Read 151570 times)
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
« on: February 03, 2020, 09:58:59 AM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on February 03, 2020, 09:53:20 AM
Read this morning somewhere that the alleged DMR poll had Biden in 4th Place. Does anyone have the numbers for people placed 1-3 on the alleged leak?

Yep, the leak had these numbers:
Sanders 22% (+2)
Warren 18% (+1)
Buttigieg 15% (=)
Biden 13% (-2)

though remember:
1. We dont have absolute confirmation that the leak is real
2. The methodology problem
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2020, 08:55:16 PM »
It looks like every party faction can find some good news in the results so far.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2020, 07:39:25 AM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on February 04, 2020, 07:38:23 AM
Quote from: jaichind on February 04, 2020, 07:35:47 AM
I assume Biden is the most happy about this mess.  It distracts from a disastrous 4th place or even 5th place performance.
Yeah, the mess in itself benefits Biden the most.

I dont think benefit is the right word. More that it softens the blow that he would have received.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2020, 07:47:43 AM »
It seems extremely likely that Sanders wins the first vote, but the SDEs look to be possibly tilting towards Buttigieg.

Anyone else have any thoughts on what the final result will be?
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2020, 08:43:02 AM »
So Pete's data shows him having won 480 State Delegates.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2020, 10:02:48 AM »
Just a friendly reminder that, if Sanders had said absolutely nothing after 2016, this mess would still have occurred. Last I checked, Sanders was not in charge of picking the app.
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