PPP-CO/NC/AZ/GA/IA/AK/ME(January 7th-9th, 2019): Approvals

[Zaybay]

This was posted a couple weeks ago, but it is the most recent information we have on these races.

Colorado: Gardner 30% approve, 47% disapprove (-17)

North Carolina: Tillis 34% approve, 40% disapprove (-6)

Arizona: McSally 37% approve, 41% disapprove (-4)

Georgia: Perdue 40% approve, 39% disapprove (+1)

Iowa: Ernst 45% approve, 42% disapprove (+3)

Alaska: Sullivan 41% approve, 41% disapprove (0)

Maine: Collins 45% approve, 43% disapprove (+2)

[Zaybay]

I love how Ernst has better numbers than Perdue and Sullivan even though everyone thinks IA is more likely to flip than AK/GA, lol.

It's not unreasonable to think that Trump will do significantly better in AK than IA, and in the case of GA, Democrats need to crack 50%. I'd say that Perdue is a bit more vulnerable than Ernst, but who are Democrats even going to run in AK?

Actually, Dems have a pretty obvious candidate for that seat. Ethan Berkowitz, Mayor of AK.

Also, I seriously dont get how you can see Perdue as more vulnerable than Ernst, considering she is only at +3 to Perdue's +1, and GA has more inelastic voters who will come home, while IA is more elastic and willing to swing against incumbents and parties.