Kansas wasn't safe r because neoliberal suburbs revolted.
Indeed. Racist KY Hicks are about to deliver Atlas another painful lesson, just as the Racist OK Hicks and Racist TN Hicks did.
Yeah, just like those racist hicks in ME and MT, who couldnt vote for Democrats even if their life depended on it.....wait.
At this point, racist hicks and polarization have become buzz words to dismiss races that could or have the potential to be competitive, with all the nuance of a children's story book. Not only are these situations radically different:
(TN had a popular former governor running against a no-name, so of course they would be inflated early)
(The candidate running, and I cant stress this enough, wasnt Mary Fallin, it was the, according to polling, moderately popular Stintt. Not only that, as ONProgressive has stated, Drew Edmonson never got more than 44% in polling, ever)
You cant just slap the same argument onto every race(especially since its already fallen apart, see MT, SD, NY, New England, CA, etc.) as nuance exists in the political world. Every race is different, and has its own set of factors. For this one, you have Bevin, the incumbent, unpopular governor, vs the presumptive Democrat Beshar, the current AG. Will Beshar win? Probably not, but he still has a great chance, and dismissing this race outright from the start is just setting yourself up for failure.