KY-Mason Dixon: Bevin Trails by 8 (user search)
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  KY-Mason Dixon: Bevin Trails by 8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-Mason Dixon: Bevin Trails by 8  (Read 11565 times)
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,066
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« on: December 17, 2018, 04:21:13 PM »

Highly interesting, and makes sense, the best predictor of performance is approvals, and, well, Bevin doesnt have the greatest.

Of course, you cant take these polls at face value until around October, but still, kinda interesting.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,066
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2018, 04:28:13 PM »





Kentucky polls are about as reliable as Nevada polls. And no polls are reliable a year before the election anyway.

Gonna be honest, you posting these polls kinda just makes Westroopnerd's point more valid.....
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,066
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #2 on: December 17, 2018, 06:59:35 PM »
« Edited: December 17, 2018, 07:02:37 PM by Senator Zaybay »


Indeed. Racist KY Hicks are about to deliver Atlas another painful lesson, just as the Racist OK Hicks and Racist TN Hicks did.

Yeah, just like those racist hicks in ME and MT, who couldnt vote for Democrats even if their life depended on it.....wait.

At this point, racist hicks and polarization have become buzz words to dismiss races that could or have the potential to be competitive, with all the nuance of a children's story book. Not only are these situations radically different:

(TN had a popular former governor running against a no-name, so of course they would be inflated early)

(The candidate running, and I cant stress this enough, wasnt Mary Fallin, it was the, according to polling, moderately popular Stintt. Not only that, as ONProgressive has stated, Drew Edmonson never got more than 44% in polling, ever)

You cant just slap the same argument onto every race(especially since its already fallen apart, see MT, SD, NY, New England, CA, etc.) as nuance exists in the political world. Every race is different, and has its own set of factors. For this one, you have Bevin, the incumbent, unpopular governor, vs the presumptive Democrat Beshar, the current AG. Will Beshar win? Probably not, but he still has a great chance, and dismissing this race outright from the start is just setting yourself up for failure.
 
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,066
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2018, 09:10:31 AM »

Thats highly interesting. Either Beshar is rather popular in the state and well known, or people really dont like Grimes.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,066
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #4 on: December 18, 2018, 10:27:33 AM »


Please reformat that, its an eyesore like that.
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