CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6 (user search)
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  CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6  (Read 121629 times)
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #100 on: August 14, 2018, 07:09:57 PM »

NYT has called it for Bernie. Scott looks kinda weak right now though.

I hope he loses the primary since that would turn the race from Likely R to Safe D.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #101 on: August 14, 2018, 07:19:18 PM »

These results from CT are terrible for the Rs.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #102 on: August 14, 2018, 07:30:04 PM »

These results from CT are terrible for the Rs.

Explain please. I heard the CT candidates are MAGA loyalists mostly, but I'm not sure about that.
Not only the turnout, but Boughton was viewed as the one to make it competitive. He was the """moderate""".
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #103 on: August 14, 2018, 08:18:09 PM »

Ellison is in the lead

Walz is in the lead

Swanson is in third
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #104 on: August 14, 2018, 08:29:13 PM »

5/6 Our Revolution candidates leading/won.
3/3 Justice Democrats leading/won.
Just curious, who are the candidates?
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #105 on: August 14, 2018, 08:46:53 PM »

scott walker is finished



I would be reluctant to call without Dane, but yeah, Walker looks rather screwed.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #106 on: August 14, 2018, 09:20:45 PM »

It looks like Pawlenty losing is the only big surprise of the night.
The CTGOP nomination is rather surprising as well.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #107 on: August 14, 2018, 10:39:08 PM »

Well then, the Democrats outvoted the Republicans in WI, MN, MN-01, MN-08, and WI-01. Today is a terrific day.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #108 on: August 15, 2018, 07:04:46 AM »


Her antisemitic Twitter rants and apparent pro-FGM attitudes. one antisemitic tweet that no one, not even Republicans, seem to care about
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #109 on: August 15, 2018, 02:04:43 PM »

Yeah pretty much all of the faux outrage against Omar doesn't hold up to the slightest bit of scrutiny.
It seems to be really only two people who are mad, looking at the thread.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #110 on: August 16, 2018, 09:42:25 AM »

I seriously went to bed last night expecting to see Sabato Crystal Ball make a big pack of ratings changes to the Democrats, and instead it is half and half, with not 1 of the ratings changes towards the Republicans making any sense, and several clear situations where there should have been ratings changes to the Democrats where no changes were made.

You are aware that candidates win races by getting the most votes and not by getting the prediction pundits?

I know the College Football championship used to be decided by a vote of journalists, but I think that's the only place that ever applied.

Seriously who cares what Sabato et al predict?
I agree, these pundits are morons. You shouldnt take their word as the end all be all. They had MN as a tossup and moved it because Johnson won, not because of any other factor, but because Johnson won. OR is moved due to dud polling. RI isnt seen as a tough state for Ds even though polling from well established places see a tossup race. And, I cant stress this enough, MD can easily be won by the Ds if they consolidate the AA vote, which Jealous should be able to do.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #111 on: August 20, 2018, 06:12:53 PM »

Gotten several texts from Levine's camp reminding me to vote, as well as an event invite from Gillum's team. No contact from the others.

I get like 3 emails a day from Levine...never gotten a single text, email, call, etc... from Graham. I'm guessing they just expect to win

the polling has really tightened up between Graham and Levine the last few weeks, it's a total toss up
at this point, the race in FL looks like a complete tossup, any of the top three candidates can win. It all depends on how this week stands.
Graham needs to maintain her lead.
Levine needs to pull off enough Greene voters.
Gillum needs to use his newfound money and endorsement to pound the airwaves and peel of Graham, Levine, and Greene voters.
The race is in a week from now, and its anyone's game.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #112 on: August 27, 2018, 11:52:50 PM »

45-36-19
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #113 on: August 28, 2018, 05:45:43 PM »

Turnout bigger than 2016 in some counties in Florida:


and those are the counties we need for the general. Nice!
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #114 on: August 28, 2018, 06:38:06 PM »

Anyone know why Gillum's doing well in Orlando and Jacksonville?
probably progressive city votes
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #115 on: August 28, 2018, 06:47:11 PM »

Gillum is almost winning Miami-Dade. What is happening?
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #116 on: August 28, 2018, 06:51:52 PM »

This primary is so odd.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #117 on: August 28, 2018, 07:10:11 PM »

LEVINE IS LEADING IN THE PANHANDLE
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #118 on: August 28, 2018, 07:16:31 PM »

hes not under FBI invest, his clerk is.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #119 on: August 28, 2018, 07:23:02 PM »

Its over, Gillum is our candidate! Good news, IMO, Gwen was unenergetic and her base consisted of just the Cosnervadems that would vote against her. Gillum is actually winning Latinos, AAs, whites, and urban folk.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #120 on: August 28, 2018, 07:42:33 PM »

The overall vote total for the GOP is crushing the Dem total.
Its FL, what did you expect?
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #121 on: August 28, 2018, 07:47:33 PM »

If Gillum won an upset against a candidate leading in every poll but one, how is he "unelectable"?
Because he is, Bob Graham's daughter was clearly the best candidate.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #122 on: August 28, 2018, 07:50:37 PM »

Graham literally ran ads that said 'Bob Graham's daughter' no surprise she lost.
BUT THAT IS THE WINNING TICKET! EVERYONE LOVES BOB AND EVERYONE LOVES HIS DAUGHTER!
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #123 on: August 28, 2018, 07:57:37 PM »

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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #124 on: August 28, 2018, 08:52:50 PM »

This acceptance speech is sooo good. Hes so charismatic!

https://twitter.com/AndrewGillum/status/1034614402098507782
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