State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Zaybay]

Id give the win to Wheeler, but those 11 precincts in Pike really do matter, especially if they are Pro-Wheeler or Pro-Pugh precincts. I dont think it will be enough though.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/politico_chris/status/1103093254428463104

Republican gerrymandering strikes again.

I feel I must point this out, but the KY map isnt an R gerrymander, but a compromise/D favored map drawn during a split legislature with a D governor.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/politico_chris/status/1103093254428463104

Republican gerrymandering strikes again.

I feel I must point this out, but the KY map isnt an R gerrymander, but a compromise/D favored map drawn during a split legislature with a D governor.

The House was, but the Senate was drawn to favor Republicans. That being said, this district was designed for a Democrat.

Ah, I did not know. But the senate map is not at all an R gerrymander, especially this seat specifically.

[Zaybay]

I feel I must point this out, but the KY map isnt an R gerrymander, but a compromise/D favored map drawn during a split legislature with a D governor.

The KY Senate is 78% GOP. I guarantee you the statewide popular vote wasn't 78% GOP.

You have to take the number from when the map was first drawn. Seats change over time, and just as TX has seen its gerrymander crumble, or how the AR Democrats accidentally drew an R gerrymander, its highly possible changes in the electorate led to such an occurrence.

The first elections with the new map led to a senate composed of 22Rs and 15Ds and 1 I, which means the Rs started off with 58% of the total seats.

[Zaybay]

I really feel that this should be mentioned, but the loss was extremely likely due to the fact the longtime incumbent in the seat retired.

[Zaybay]

LOL

https://twitter.com/jhorvathTT/status/1105646888659939329

Anyway, great results for Dems this week, though we cant really gleam any info from it.

[Zaybay]

Pretty great result tonight, and a good swing as well.