Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,198
Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
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« on: October 23, 2021, 07:23:40 AM » |
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Why this narrative is BS:
1. RGV swung and trended in 2016 despite immigration and border control being an issue.
2. In the 2018 midterms despite the country shifting left and having a reduced statewide winning margin from 2014, Greg Abbott saw monster swings and trends that year to him in RGV, despite winning by 13 points compared to 20 points statewide. Cruz also got swings from rural counties compared to his his last run (Duval, Jim Wells, Starr, etc.) although the more urban counties didn't bulge. In 2002 both statewide races saw the RGV swing to democrats, not showing a correlating trend like 2018-2020.
3. Downballot candidates like Monica De La Cruz underperformed only by a little margin, showing that RGV Tejanos are not only loyal to Trump.
4. Not exactly the same as Tejanos, but GOP has gained with Hispanic voters in Florida in 2021 with it's outreach, and the CA Recall had Newsom winning by only by 18 points in Imperial County, with the county trending once again more right to the state.
5. Polls show Hispanics swinging the hardest against Biden compared to other demographics. Most likely due to the border crisis.
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