NH-SEN 2022 Megathread: General Dysfunction

[Woody]

Source: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/551595-sununu-seen-as-top-recruit-in-gop-bid-to-reclaim-senate

Pressure is mounting for New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu (R) to challenge Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.) for her seat in next year’s midterm elections as Republicans seek to take back control of the Senate in 2022.

Sununu sailed to reelection as governor in 2020, winning roughly 65 percent of the vote, despite former President Trump losing the state by 7 points. Roughly seven months later, the governor’s approval rating remains high, with a recent University of New Hampshire survey putting it at 69 percent.

“If Gov. Sununu decides to run for Senate, I think he would be the No. 1 Republican recruit in the country,” said veteran New Hampshire GOP strategist Jim Merrill.

“The political cemetery is filled with folks who underestimated Maggie Hassan,” said New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Ray Buckley.

But Republicans say Hassan will be tied to Democratic leadership in Washington going into 2022, painting her as a member of the far left.

Polling shows that a Hassan-Sununu race stands to be tight. A UNH survey released in February showed Sununu leading Hassan 48 percent to 46 percent, within the margin of error.

A Morning Consult tracking poll shows an even wider gap in their approval ratings. Seventy-three percent of New Hampshire voters said they approved of Sununu, while 55 percent said they approved of Hassan.

[Woody]

What happened in Virginia must have emboldened him.

[Woody]

NJ and VA emboldened him, and with good reason. Sununu most likely wins by mid-single digits, and tosses Hassan aside like a used towel.

[Woody]

Democrats now:

[Woody]

He just announced he is running again for governor, coward. Looks like it's Bolduc... or maybe Ayotte.

This race is still a toss up.

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/stephanie_murr/status/1458081092200718336?s=21

LET'S

F[inks]ING

GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Hassan's approvals are underwater by double digits. Any competent candidate could make this competitive against this garbage senator.

[Woody]

Good for him, I’d want to stay out of Washington as well.

Also good for him for helping Dems keep the Senate

Only in your mind.

Democrats are struggling in New Jersey and Virginia and you believe they are capable of keeping the senate?

[Woody]

Good for him, I’d want to stay out of Washington as well.

Also good for him for helping Dems keep the Senate

Only in your mind.

Democrats are struggling in New Jersey and Virginia and you believe they are capable of keeping the senate?

Gubernatorial races are different from Senate races.

New Jersey had a Republican Governor for the majority of Obama’s presidency.

Andy Beshar won the KY GOV in 2018. Charlie Baker has won MA Gov.

Democrats didn't gain any other statewide positions nor any gains in the legislatures. Republicans swept all three statewide offices in Virginia, and took the HoD. While they came short in New Jersey, they still made gains in the Assembly.

Not to mention that Bevin was the most unpopular governor in the country at that time, and Beshear's family was popular with the old DINOS.

Both Murphy and Northam had decent approvals/not underwater.

[Woody]

Well at least with Bolduc we have a 100% MAGA senator from NH's delegation if he wins.

So if I were on the other side I wouldn't celebrate just yet. This is still going to be a race under 5 points.

[Woody]

The Sununu name and his brother's coattails would carry him through the finish line.

[Woody]

The Sununu name and his brother's coattails would carry him through the finish line.

Tell that to incumbent Senator Evan Bayh.

Well.. if he had the same overperformance Bayh had in 16' he would win.

[Woody]

I like to think of this as a consolation prize. At this stage we're just toying with the Dems.

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/kdonohoenh/status/1585673200305901574

[Woody]

Might end up as the biggest self-own of this election season. Bolduc won only by a point against Morse in the primary, which means any influence could have helped him narrowly win. Gambling away a more moderate Morse, to a right-wing election denier who now has a realistic possibility of having that seat.

...Democrats/Schumer spending millions of dollars against Morse:

In the Republican Senate primary, Senate Majority PAC, a group aligned with Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.), is spending $3.2 million on ads that effectively enhance the candidacy in the GOP primary of retired Gen. Don Bolduc, by portraying his more moderate rival, state Senate President Chuck Morse, who has trailed in GOP primary polls to Bolduc, as beholden to the party establishment.

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/12/democrats-interfere-republican-primaries/

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/GenDonBolduc/status/1587509804527980544?cxt=HHwWgMC4hbPw-4cs...

[Woody]

Decent ads. Straightforward, quick and punches directly at Hassan.

https://twitter.com/GenDonBolduc/status/1585953712056700928?cxt=HHwWgMDQ1fKfuIIs...

[Woody]

Huh?? What is your evidence that Bolduc is more likely to win than Morse would have been?

Meant to say that in the likelihood that Bolduc wins, then most likely Morse would have won to.. which asks the question if Democrats should gamble it's chances for an easier victory when a extreme right-winger still has a shot at winning..

Y'know, these same candidates that Dems' always fearmonger about destroying democracy?

[Woody]

"We're not taking our momentum for granted"

https://twitter.com/GenDonBolduc/status/1588145122776170498?cxt=HHwWhIC-7eTknIos...