Austrian Parliamentary Election - 28/09/2008

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Would Citizen Forum take votes mostly from the FPO as a protest vote, or from the mainline parties? (Hopefully they would take enough from the BZO to keep them below the threshold.)

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The Liberal Forum still exists? Or is it some other liberal thingee?

They have an MP (elected on the SPO's list). But I thought they were going to run with the SPO again.

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I endorse the Liberals

I´ll also create a poll here after the deadline for party signatures on August 22.

Danke

I suspect the Liberals may well win our poll here while failing to meet the threshold in Austria.

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I'm still looking for a party. Will somebody help?

Der KPO. But if you want a party that will make it over the threshold, probably the Greens. Maybe SPO if you were actually Austrian and either an immigrant or in a traditionally leftist family. Unless you lived in Graz, then you'd probably be a commie anyway.

[Verily]

The Social Democrats are gaining and it's the first time in a very long period that the SPÖ is tied with the ÖVP, according to the new Ö24/Gallup poll:

SPÖ: 26%
ÖVP: 26%
FPÖ: 19%
Greens: 14%
BZÖ: 6%
CitizenForum: 6%
Liberals: 3%

This poll makes coalitions complicated once again. The CitizenForum has ruled out a coalition with FPÖ/BZÖ, just like the Greens did. SPÖ or ÖVP-Greens-Citizen has no majority. I really hope the Liberals get more than 4%, so that we can get a SPÖ-Green-CitizenForum-Liberal coalition. Otherwise the only possible coalition would be the former hated Grand again ...

ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ?

Wouldn't that make Jorg Haider explode or something?

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Weirdest is probably the poor showing for the Liberals (unless the poll didn't mention them explicitly). Vienna is where they need a strong showing (at least 8-10%) to pass the threshold nationwide.

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Grune: 111
LIF: 95
KPO: 45
SPO: 25
OVP: -70
BZO: -155
FPO: -205

There are policy differences between the BZO and FPO?

Edit: Apparently on the army, where I agreed with the BZO and disagreed with everyone else.

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Thanks for the translations.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

LiF        175
Green   152
KPO      138
SPO      45

OVP      -36
BZO      -144
FPO      -217


Shock Poll 

I knew I liked LiF the best. But I am shocked that the Commies are higher than the Social Democrats for me.

There aren't many explicit economic/trade questions that might distinguish the KPO and SPO.

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Why do similar parties debate each other?

Because that's where most of the votes swing.

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Please, SPO voters, loan some votes to the LIF!

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Looks like another Grand Coalition is the only workable solution.

And this is the reason I don't like proportional representation.

Under a FPTP system, we'd probably have 35% SPÖ, 30% ÖVP, 25% FPÖ, and 10% BZÖ.

which would give us a majority.

Give whom? You'd still have the Grand Coalition.

ÖVP-FPÖ

Does the ÖVP want such a thing?

They've done it before.

[Verily]

I love how the BZO map could serve as a map of how far you are from Carinthia, and the Green map would be a strong proxy for population density.