Alberta: Strong McCain (Alberta is like the Texas of Canada or even more conservative)
Saskatchewan: Lean Obama
Manitoba: Tossup/Lean McCain
How is Saskatchewan so different from Alberta and Manitoba?
It's actually similar to Manitoba. Regina is like a mini-Winnipeg. Don't forget, SK elected the first socialist government in North America under the great Tommy Douglas 
You are being intellectually dishonest with that one. The CCF's [Cooperative Commonwealth Federation for the uninitiated] base was in the rural areas, as was true of all of the other, earlier leftist movements (United Farmers, Progressives). It wasn't until the 1980s that the NDP's base in Saskatchewan became the cities.
In the end, McCain has no chance in Canada. He wins Alberta, maybe Saskatchewan and probably PEI, N&L and New Brunswick (those are something of a guess). Obama wins the rest, except possibly losing Manitoba. But only Ontario and Quebec would matter, and they'd probably vote for a rock before McCain.
