State by state polls

[CTguy]

Wow those numbers look terrible for Bush.  I cant believe the turn around in New Hampshire of 18 points.  I have a feeling that the only reason Bush won New Hampshire last time was because of the drawn out Republican primary in the state last time coupled with the fact that Nader was in the race.

[CTguy]

Are you kidding?  He is losing in the battleground states that should be leaning Republican and he had a complete turnaround in some states he won last time (like New Hampshire).

Also, the undecideds usually break for the challenger, especially a democrat, since undecided voters tend to be women and people with less money.  

I don't know where all of those polls are coming from so the numbers are suspect, but if the numbers are accurate then Bush is in a lot of trouble.  

[CTguy]

I could believe the New Hampshire poll though.  Even though the state doesn't have as many democrats as most other Northeastern States, the democrats there are highly partisan whereas the republicans don't seem as thrilled about Bush.  All of my friends from New Hampshire loathe Bush as if they were from any other liberal New England state...  so I think Bush is going to have a real tough time there unless he gets every single Republican in the state out to vote.  

Also I think the gun issue really helped him in 2000 in New Hampshire as the state has a libertarian bent...  but this year the issue doesn't seem as important and he seems to be pissing off libertarians with some of his policies like that patriot act that seem to be about taking away individual liberties.  

But still...  I would have thought Kerry would be up 5 or 10 points there...  not such a wide spread.  That result was rather shocking.  New Hampshire has two very conservative US Senators...  perhaps these new poll numbers will cause them to think about their voting records...  It seems to me like they're going to have to start voting like the moderate Republican senators in Maine rather than like the conservatives in the South if they want to keep getting elected.