How is it that people are making these confident assertions without knowing how different party ID is now...
Due to some kind of simplistic belief that all states should have a party ID split of 33D/33I/33R and it has been and will always be the same.
Simplistic being the operative word
... it's so sad that someone with so much to give wouldn't feel comfortable enough to contribute.
Think it could be a little closer than this in Ohio, but it does line up with the Quinnipiac poll from mid week that showed Obama still up 6 in Ohio. Yesterday, PPP tweeted its initial night of polling in Ohio showed a tight race. So wonder if Obama did particulary well there today, perhaps a sign of a Biden bump or that whatever bounce Romney had -- if ever existed in Ohio -- is fading?
Potentially an increase in Dem participation in LV screens?