Florida 2022 Megathread

[Lognog]

Does anyone seriously think this race will be within 7 points?. I would not be shocked if the DNC makes this their 2020 South Carolina, to be frank. Millions of dollars spent..... only to lose by 10 instead of 12!

Odd cutoff, but here are all the major statewide races over the last decade with a final margin greater than seven points:

• 2012 U.S. Senate (+12 Dem win)
• 2016 U.S. Senate (+7.7 GOP win)

And that's it. The last gubernatorial race with a win of >7 points (7.1!) was in 2006, and won by... Charlie Crist.

If trends continue in the 2020 with Maimi dade it could easily be a double digit blow out win for R's

[Lognog]

Does anyone seriously think this race will be within 7 points?. I would not be shocked if the DNC makes this their 2020 South Carolina, to be frank. Millions of dollars spent..... only to lose by 10 instead of 12!

Odd cutoff, but here are all the major statewide races over the last decade with a final margin greater than seven points:

• 2012 U.S. Senate (+12 Dem win)
• 2016 U.S. Senate (+7.7 GOP win)

And that's it. The last gubernatorial race with a win of >7 points (7.1!) was in 2006, and won by... Charlie Crist.

If trends continue in the 2022 with Maimi dade it could easily be a double digit blow out win for R's

This. People claiming Florida is still a “swing state” is reminiscent of a few years ago when people thought Virginia was still competitive.

wouldn't be surprised to see Maimi dade go R for both gov and senate

[Lognog]

This is for everybody:
You all should put Kanye West ala Olowakandi on ignore. Don't respond to any of his Posts because his Predictions are so outlandish it's useless to discuss with him.

Heartbreaking, the worst person you know made a great point

[Lognog]

If trends continue in the 2022 with Maimi dade it could easily be a double digit blow out win for R's

"the 2022"? "Maimi dade"? Literacy? Very silly to assume that the last election is the only one that ever matters & trends will continue out into time forever.

sorry about the typos but its more silly to straight out ignore the massive shifts from 2016 to 2020.
Maimi-Dade's shifts were among the most extreme in the nation. you're telling people to ignore that??
futhermore, 2022 will be a GOP year and the Maimi dade will mostly shift more atlas blue from 2020.

[Lognog]

If trends continue in the 2022 with Maimi dade it could easily be a double digit blow out win for R's

"the 2022"? "Maimi dade"? Literacy? Very silly to assume that the last election is the only one that ever matters & trends will continue out into time forever.

sorry about the typos but its more silly to straight out ignore the massive shifts from 2016 to 2020.
Maimi-Dade's shifts were among the most extreme in the nation. you're telling people to ignore that??
futhermore, 2022 will be a GOP year and the Maimi dade will mostly shift more atlas blue from 2020.

We saw a 6-point shift toward the Democrats in Dade from 2012 to 2016. Anyone who assumed that trend would not only hold but intensify in 2020 ended up looking very stupid when it snapped back hard. I am looking out for you!

Bookmarking this now. Let's see what happens

[Lognog]

Looks like the Fried stans on #Resistance Twitter will have to look for another idol to worship:

https://twitter.com/dsamuelsohn/status/1390448663772733443

to be fair it's pretty easy for her to counter that Crist was literally a Republican like a decade ago