Lognog
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,398
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« on: June 16, 2020, 11:36:29 AM » |
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Honestly NY 15 is a bit anyone's guess, but Ruban Diaz Sr.'s son is the very popular borough president of the Bronx, Ruben Diaz Jr. (Sr. and Jr. don't show up on the ballot). Also, Diaz is know to have really good constituent service so gun to my head I say he wins.
Clarke is very unpopular, only narrowly surviving in 2018 in a two person primary race. If it was a rematch against just Adem Bunkeddeko, I would say lean Bunkeddeko. But this is not a two person race, there are three other candidates that are sure to split the anti-incumbent vote. One of the key factors in winning a primary race is unified opposition see AOC, Newman, and Pressley
Engel is in real trouble. His recent gaffes combined with the fact that he does not match the demographics of his district (like Crowley) opens the door wide open for a challenge. the opposition is pretty unified behind Bowman and polling form October found that Engel does not have strong support even before the gaffs and Bowman's rise.
Also I wish NY 17 was included here. It's a very interesting and crowded race
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