Last poll before primary: Who will win 3 New York's CDs? NY-09, NY-15, NY-16

[😥]

I think
NY-09: Yvette Clarke (inc.)
NY-15: Ritchie Torres
NY-16: Jamaal Bowman

[Lognog]

Honestly NY 15 is a bit anyone's guess, but Ruban Diaz Sr.'s son is the very popular borough president of the Bronx, Ruben Diaz Jr. (Sr. and Jr. don't show up on the ballot). Also, Diaz is know to have really good constituent service so gun to my head I say he wins.

Clarke is very unpopular, only narrowly surviving in 2018 in a two person primary race. If it was a rematch against just Adem Bunkeddeko, I would say lean Bunkeddeko. But this is not a two person race, there are three other candidates that are sure to split the anti-incumbent vote. One of the key factors in winning a primary race is unified opposition see AOC, Newman, and Pressley

Engel is in real trouble. His recent gaffes combined with the fact that he does not match the demographics of his district (like Crowley) opens the door wide open for a challenge. the opposition is pretty unified behind Bowman and polling form October found that Engel does not have strong support even before the gaffs and Bowman's rise.

Also I wish NY 17 was included here. It's a very interesting and crowded race

[Coldstream]

Clarke and Diaz win with small pluralities. Toss up between Engel and Bowman, I don’t think Engel is as finished as some seem to think - but he’s really done all he can to lose.

[S019]

Clarke, Diaz, and Bowman are my guesses


the 9th is Likely Clarke, the 15th and 16th are tossups

[Suburbia]

Clarke, Diaz Sr, Bowman

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Torres would WIN if it wasnt for Bernie and AOC endorsing Samelys Lopez
Now were going to be stuck with diaz

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Torres would WIN if it wasnt for Bernie and AOC endorsing Samelys Lopez
Now were going to be stuck with diaz

Lopez was at 2% with an AOC endorsement. The Sanders endorsement might hurt Torres a bit, but undecided voters should break for him enough to see Diaz off. If he loses the primary, then Lopez might have a stab at beating Diaz in the GE.

[Storr]

I picked Clarke, Torres, and Bowman. Though I can see Diaz Sr. winning, I didn't pick him simply because I don't want such a terrible person winning.

[NewYorkExpress]

Clark, Diaz, Bowman.

[morgieb]

Voted Bundekko, Torres and Bowman.

I wonder who the Dems are gonna support if Diaz wins the primary though? Lopez is on the ballot as the WFP candidate. Will national Dems still support someone like Diaz if there's another Dem on the ballot?