Oregon 4th district will flip R

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He literally out preformed Hillary by 20 points in 2016. He is not going to lose to a no name, even if Trump squeezes out a win in this district

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I think he loses, but there's a very good possibility that Oregon's new district will be Republican leaning and Alek Skarlatos can run there in 2022 (probably a republican wave)

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Wow.

In OR-04, House Majority PAC has its first ad attacking Republican Alek Skarlatos, who is challenging Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio in OR-04. The race has largely flown under the radar, but super PAC spending in a district that Hillary Clinton carried by the skin of her teeth makes it worth watching.

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/weekly-score/2020/10/05/trumps-hospitalization-upends-the-campaign-790807

HMP ad

He's a legitimately strong challenger. I still think he'll lose by a lot, but he's certainly building up his own brand right now. When Oregon gets its new seat next cycle, it'll probably be a pretty Republican one where he lives. I think he's win the primary and the general, in a Biden midterm that is

[Lognog]

Wow.

In OR-04, House Majority PAC has its first ad attacking Republican Alek Skarlatos, who is challenging Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio in OR-04. The race has largely flown under the radar, but super PAC spending in a district that Hillary Clinton carried by the skin of her teeth makes it worth watching.

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/weekly-score/2020/10/05/trumps-hospitalization-upends-the-campaign-790807

HMP ad

He's a legitimately strong challenger. I still think he'll lose by a lot, but he's certainly building up his own brand right now. When Oregon gets its new seat next cycle, it'll probably be a pretty Republican one where he lives. I think he's win the primary and the general, in a Biden midterm that is

I agree that he's prepping to run in a rural Southwest Oregon seat without Eugene and Corvallis in it.

The big question is can he stick around for 2024