IA-SEN 2022: Grassley vs Franken (user search)
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  IA-SEN 2022: Grassley vs Franken (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-SEN 2022: Grassley vs Franken  (Read 27907 times)
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

« on: June 07, 2022, 10:13:06 PM »

My god, is this the third election in a row that she's underperformed compared to expectations? Maybe she's just a bad candidate.
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2022, 04:59:20 PM »

My god, is this the third election in a row that she's underperformed compared to expectations? Maybe she's just a bad candidate.

What were the expectations in 2018?

Rod Blum was seen as one of the likeliest incumbents to go down. While he did end up losing, Finkenauer's margin was decidedly underwhelming.
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2022, 11:52:49 PM »

My god, is this the third election in a row that she's underperformed compared to expectations? Maybe she's just a bad candidate.

What were the expectations in 2018?

Rod Blum was seen as one of the likeliest incumbents to go down. While he did end up losing, Finkenauer's margin was decidedly underwhelming.

It was 5 points.

Perhaps this says more about unreasonable Democratic expectations than it does about Finkenauer, but I remember people were expecting Blum to get downright blanched that year.
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