Predict your home state races.

[wesmoorenerd]

MD-Gov: Hogan (he ain't losing)
MD-01: Harris
MD-02: Ruppersberger
MD-03: Sarbanes
MD-04: Brown
MD-05: Hoyer
MD-06: Trone (ugh)
MD-07: Cummings
MD-08: Raskin
MD-Sen: Cardin
State Sen/House: strong D majority in both no matter what
Attorney Gen.: Frosh
Comptroller: Franchot

[wesmoorenerd]

NJ Senate: Bob Menendez
NJ-01: Donald Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew
NJ-03: Tom MacArthur
NJ-04: Chris Smith
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Leonard Lance
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne Jr.
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman

I'll admit I am the least confident about NJ-03 and NJ-07. They really could go either way. This just my hunch that both GOP incumbents win by very similar narrow margins.

Man, I would love an 11-1 NJ delegation. It's possible, too. All the pieces are there. Van Drew, Kim, Malinowski, and Sherrill are all very good candidates. If the wave is big enough, it might just happen.

[wesmoorenerd]

Wisconsin:

Senate: Baldwin (D)
Governor: Evers (D)
Lieutenant Governor: Barnes (D)
Attorney General: Kaul (D)
Secretary of State: LaFollette (D)
Treasurer: Godlewski (D)

WI-01: Steil (R)
WI-02: Pocan (D)
WI-03: Kind (D)
WI-04: Moore (D)
WI-05: Sensenbrenner (R)
WI-06: Kohl (D)
WI-07: Duffy (R)
WI-08: Gallagher

State Senate: Narrow D control
State Assembly: R control

Interesting... I don't really see Kohl winning and Bryce (let's face it, he's going to be the nominee) losing.

[wesmoorenerd]

New Jersey:

Senate: Bob Menendez

NJ-01: Don Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew (by a 20 point margin)
NJ-03: Andy Kim (narrowly)
NJ-04: Josh Welle (by some insanely small margin, <1000 votes)
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Tom Malinowski (by a small but decent margin)
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (by a decent margin)
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman

Bruh, that would indicate a wave that would be like 06 size if not bigger.

If Chris Smith gets ousted? Wew lad, we're talking about triple digit Dem gains.

[wesmoorenerd]

ILLINOIS
Governor/Lt Gov: JB Pritzker/Juliana Stratton
Attorney General: Kwame Raoul
Secretary of State: Jesse White
Comptroller: Susana Mendoza
Treasurer: Mike Frerichs
IL-01: Bobby Rush
IL-02: Robin Kelly
IL-03: Dan Lipinski
IL-04: Chuy Garcia
IL-05: Mike Quigley
IL-06: Sean Casten
IL-07: Danny Davis
IL-08: Raja Krishnamoorthi
IL-09: Jan Schakowsky
IL-10: Brad Schneider
IL-11: Bill Foster
IL-12: Mike Bost
IL-13: Rodney Davis
IL-14: Randy Hultgren
IL-15: John Shimkus
IL-16: Adam Kinzinger
IL-17: Cheri Bustos
IL-18: Darin LaHood

Of the four competitive house races: the 6th goes to Casten by about 5 points, Bost holds the 12th by 1-2 points, and Hultgren/Davis hold their respective districts by 3-5 points.

I think Bost is more likely to lose than Roskam tbh