wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,600
Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13
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« on: June 22, 2018, 10:12:44 PM » |
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Trump has maybe 30-40% chances of winning reelection. However, out of that 60-70% of scenarios that he loses, I think his opponent has a good shot of winning reelection. Two term Presidents are absolutely the norm these days. Most likely scenario is Trump manages to stave off a recession long enough that blame for it falls to the Democrats, or perhaps an older Democrat like Sanders or Biden is elected that retires after one term. I put the odds at maybe 15-20%.
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