auburntiger
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,233
Political Matrix
E: -2.61, S: 0.65
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« on: August 16, 2011, 08:44:24 AM » |
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I say not likely. Indiana is gone and the only realistic shots of pickups (MO, AZ, and GA) aren't likely to switch. I think Florida is more likely to fall republican than NC, OH, or VA. He was never that popular in Florida to begin with. Virginia will be the pivotal state this time and could be more Dem than IA & NH this time.
Right now, my map has Obama losing IN, FL, OH, NC, NH, and NE-02 (btw, are they still going to vote by district, or has the R-legislature overturned that?) Obama winning 281-257 against Romney.
Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, wisconsin, ennsylvania, Virginia and maybe Michigan and Maine-02 are potential switches depending how things look this time next year.
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