NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT) (user search)
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  NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)  (Read 52354 times)
Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #25 on: February 22, 2020, 03:16:59 PM »
Claire McCaskill on MSNBC says it doesn't matter that Bernie wins, the real story is who comes in 2nd/3rd/etc.

lol
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #26 on: February 22, 2020, 03:18:57 PM »
Kornacki says they are getting updated exit polls NOW with same-day as well as early vote, so they are updating.

Kornacki notes that Bernie is winning moderates.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #27 on: February 22, 2020, 03:22:51 PM »
CNN reporting on 1st round for a precinct in Sparks NV:

Bernie 65.8%
Warren 23.7%
Biden 10.5%
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #28 on: February 22, 2020, 03:24:15 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on February 22, 2020, 03:19:57 PM
Increasingly looks like Bernie's base this time is in the Southwest.  We may seriously need to reevaluate what a Bernie GE would look like relative to Generic Dem.  Beto/Sinema numbers in Texas/Arizona seem increasingly plausible.  At the same time, he can't count on doing better than Clinton in the Midwest.  

I agree, that is also consistent with the poll showing Bernie only down by 2 in TX. Bernie should go for a South-Western strategy in the General.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #29 on: February 22, 2020, 03:27:34 PM »
The only candidates viable at a Strip/Casino caucus are Bernie and Biden. Bigger group for Bernie "strongly in favor of Bernie" (on MSNBC). They are trying to get Warren people to come over, Warren was not viable.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #30 on: February 22, 2020, 03:30:54 PM »
Quote from: YE on February 22, 2020, 03:27:34 PM


Bernie is apparently the candidate who unites Progressives and Moderates, the one who can win in both "lanes."
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #31 on: February 22, 2020, 03:34:26 PM »
Bernie winning a precinct in Reno covered on MSNBC, but the TV reporter doesn't give numbers.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #32 on: February 22, 2020, 03:43:14 PM »
Entrance polls are updated with more same-day votes, Bernie up to 54% among Hispanics now, was 51% earlier.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #33 on: February 22, 2020, 03:47:53 PM »
Quote from: SlamDunk on February 22, 2020, 03:43:58 PM
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 22, 2020, 03:43:14 PM
Entrance polls are updated with more same-day votes, Bernie up to 54% among Hispanics now, was 51% earlier.
Where are you getting these numbers? I'm not seeing anything updated.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada

Hit refresh if they are not updated
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #34 on: February 22, 2020, 03:59:18 PM »
There was a tie in Reno on MSNBC....

Buttigieg got a 3, Bernie pulled a 2 of clubs... so of course Buttigieg wins randomly.

Of course he does.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #35 on: February 22, 2020, 04:02:56 PM »
Quote from: Statilius the Epicurean on February 22, 2020, 04:00:19 PM
Looking to be a disappointing night for Bernie. Remember he got over 47% here in 2016.

Even worse for him, it looks like he probably won't come in 2nd, and 2nd place is the real winner, as we all know. Which means he loses.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #36 on: February 22, 2020, 04:12:41 PM »
Some results from a random precinct on twitter, Bernie crushing it:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #37 on: February 22, 2020, 04:13:59 PM »
Bernie the ONLY viable candidate in this precinct:



Another precinct with apparently ONLY Bernie viable:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #38 on: February 22, 2020, 04:17:26 PM »
Bernie and Buttigieg the only ones viable here:



Buttigieg actually won a precinct, 1st one I have seen:



Narrow Bernie win, also Klobuchar and Biden viable:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #39 on: February 22, 2020, 04:24:21 PM »
Reno precinct, Bernie win:



Another Bernie win:



Bernie landslide:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #40 on: February 22, 2020, 04:26:37 PM »
More Bernie win:



Bernie dominant in University of Nevada Reno precincts, he wins all 6 and is the only viable candidate in 3 of them:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #41 on: February 22, 2020, 04:31:32 PM »
Bernie keeps winning more precincts people are reporting on twitter:







One where Warren is also doing well, Bernie-Warren tie! That seems to be a rarity:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #42 on: February 22, 2020, 04:33:09 PM »
MSDNC is going to displace FOX News as the anti-Bernie pro-GOP network after Bernie beats Trump:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #43 on: February 22, 2020, 04:34:38 PM »

Bernie is winning by such a large margin/landslide that basically it is impossible for it to not work out for him, it looks like.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #44 on: February 22, 2020, 04:35:23 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 22, 2020, 04:31:22 PM
Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?

Yes, all actual results reported include early vote.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #45 on: February 22, 2020, 04:36:17 PM »
Bernie Sanders now giving his victory speech in El Paso, TX. He graciously accepts the nomination of the Democratic Party.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #46 on: February 22, 2020, 04:39:49 PM »
Overwhelming Bernie win in heavily Hispanic precinct:
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #47 on: February 22, 2020, 04:43:35 PM »
Quote from: Beet on February 22, 2020, 04:41:40 PM
Why are Latinos so pro-Bernie? Does anyone have a serious answer besides tHeY aRe DiSpRoPoRtIoNaTeLy YoUnG? That's not enough to explain these numbers. This is like Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton with the Black vote.

Because Hispanics tend to like his Economic policies and his plan to stop deportations.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #48 on: February 22, 2020, 04:48:16 PM »
Twitter is just an endless stream of Bernie winning different precincts, so I am going to stop posting them, there are just too many, I can't keep up.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,048
« Reply #49 on: February 22, 2020, 04:53:07 PM »
It seems like the AtlasIntel and Data for Progress polls are going to end up being the most accurate.
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