I am in a poll making mood- How will what is currently called the USA be politically 100 years from now?
I realize I'm way off my game tonight, but it seems to me that the 2nd and 3rd options are merely subsets of the first. Anyway, I don't think up-and-coming China will have forced us from our KOTH position by then, though it will almost certainly have a higher aggregate GDP than the US within the next 20 years. Barring any sudden change in the educational system (which, admittedly, is a huge assumption) I can't imagine a Russia1990 or France1789 type schism occurring here, so I have voted for the first option.