TX-SEN 2020 Megathread: Early Voting

[aaroncd107]

What do you guys think about Lt. Gov. candidate Mike Collier? He seems okay on charisma, and outperformed Beto in 171 counties that I assume are mostly white and mostly rural. Could he make it competitive vs. Cornyn? If you combine his minimal inroads with rural whites (which admittedly will be fleeting) with juiced up Latino turnout in the Rio Grande valley, and Beto at the very top of the ticket, I would say he could get pretty close if TX Dems start chipping early, like Pollster said.

Or, is Kim Olson the one for that? Running women everywhere seems like a safe bet.

[aaroncd107]

What do you guys think about Lt. Gov. candidate Mike Collier? He seems okay on charisma, and outperformed Beto in 171 counties that I assume are mostly white and mostly rural. Could he make it competitive vs. Cornyn? If you combine his minimal inroads with rural whites (which admittedly will be fleeting) with juiced up Latino turnout in the Rio Grande valley, and Beto at the very top of the ticket, I would say he could get pretty close if TX Dems start chipping early, like Pollster said.

Or, is Kim Olson the one for that? Running women everywhere seems like a safe bet.

Olson lost by 10, i thought?

No, only 5. About as much as Collier.

[aaroncd107]

I'd imagine McRaven would be more desirable for the party as a VP choice, but I could see him defeating Cornyn (possibly more easily than we imagine, though of course not by any means with ease) if he runs on his service record and takes some liberal domestic stances like Medicare for All or  $15 minimum wage to hold the base.

McRaven would be pretty much a god-tier level recruit, but is there any actual indication that he is interested in running and also that he REALLY is a Dem in the first place?

If nothing’s changed since this interview, he’s probably not running.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/05/29/bill-mcraven-ut-system-chancellor-texas-higher-education/

[aaroncd107]

Wasted Potential. Hopefully MJ Hegar shows Cornyn the door.

ba dum tsss

[aaroncd107]

if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

Putting aside his qualities or lack thereof as a potential statewide candidate, he voted with Trump 68.8% of the time in the 115th Congress despite representing a Safe D seat. I can only imagine what it would be if he went on to represent the entire state of Texas in the Senate.

Cuellar is a lloyd bentsen democrat. That's kind of what you need to win statewide. I mean if O'Rourke can win Williamson and Tarrant and still lose the state - that Texas is a tougher nut to crack than previously thought.

Texas Democrats aren't anywhere near done talking to typical non-voters, who the Beto campaign relied on. With higher Hispanic turnout in the Presidential year, continued suburban drift, and sustaining the turnout from young people that O'Rourke blew up, I think a liberal candidate will continue to be the best way to win Texas. Cuellar would probably hurt Democrats.