Montana: Trump +21 (Emerson) (user search)
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  Montana: Trump +21 (Emerson) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Montana: Trump +21 (Emerson)  (Read 743 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: March 06, 2024, 02:17:20 PM »
Quote from: Matty on March 06, 2024, 02:09:17 PM
Tester is not going to survive if trump carries the state by 21


Romney carried the state in 2012 by 18 and Tester won 50/46 over Rehberg sorry you are wrong

Just like users keep comparing Trump lead in IA to shift of nation to right and Reynolds won by 30 and we had a 303 map in 22
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2024, 04:10:15 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on March 06, 2024, 03:40:54 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on March 06, 2024, 02:36:51 PM
Quote from: Matty on March 06, 2024, 02:09:17 PM
Tester is not going to survive if trump carries the state by 21

He’s up 2 in the same poll.

Polls tend to overestimate ticket-splitting.

Tester won with Romney carrying the state 2012
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2024, 04:15:10 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 06, 2024, 04:11:13 PM
Quote from: Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers on March 06, 2024, 04:10:15 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on March 06, 2024, 03:40:54 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on March 06, 2024, 02:36:51 PM
Quote from: Matty on March 06, 2024, 02:09:17 PM
Tester is not going to survive if trump carries the state by 21

He’s up 2 in the same poll.
Romney only won Montana by 13-14 points.

Polls tend to overestimate ticket-splitting.

Tester won with Romney carrying the state 2012
..


Ds are favored to hold the S because the S isn't Gerrymandering like the H but I posted a poll Lawler is gone he is only up 50/48
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,213
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2024, 05:12:53 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2024, 05:17:32 PM by Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers »
I have ALLRED, Brown, Tester and Powell winning, because it's easier for Ds to hold the S than the Hbecause it's not gerrymander but it's easy for Ds to get the Filibuster proof To because 75 of contested races are in CA or NY

Lawler isn't fav because he lives in NY.


We only lost the S  before COVID in 2018 since COVID, Ds have held serve on the S


Users just gotta wait til we vote
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