Is Trump a lock to win the general election? (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 07:30:22 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Is Trump a lock to win the general election? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 66

Author Topic: Is Trump a lock to win the general election?  (Read 733 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: February 28, 2024, 08:12:49 PM »

No, we have to vote
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2024, 10:58:41 PM »

Would a Biden turnaround in the polls and victory be unprecedented, or has something similar happened before?

There are polls coming out tied and Trump plus 7 and yes 2016 Hillary lead in most polls and LOST
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2024, 11:00:05 PM »

Some of you in here are claiming that Trump is "heavily favored" to win right now. Yet, there's no material evidence to support that (outside of bunk polling).

Some of you are just talking and saying anything lol.

Yes, they are either trolling or they don't understand how little predictive value polling has at this point.  Or both; I guess they're not mutually exclusive.


It's mainly Riverwalk he keeps saying we gonna have a D S and a Trump Pred
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: February 29, 2024, 07:02:06 AM »

Trump probably would be “heavily favored” to win if the election were held next Tuesday. But it’s not going to be obviously. I think that’s what’s tripping people up.

I’m not really basing my assessment on the current polling much at all.
I’m basing is on how it now looks like the election is most likely to play out over the next eight months….again, if there is no dramatic and unexpected change.

In his current physical condition, Biden is more likely to lose ground than to gain it.
And his physical condition is much more likely to further deteriorate than to improve.


Trump underperforming polls by 7 pts stop being a Doomer, we haven't voted yet
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