State of the race if Trump won in 2020? (user search)
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  State of the race if Trump won in 2020? (search mode)
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Author Topic: State of the race if Trump won in 2020?  (Read 514 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: February 27, 2024, 10:54:10 AM »

Assume Trump wins AZ, GA, WI, PA in 2020. Assume Perdue and Peters win and all other races are the same outcome.

Democrats have a 7 seat gain in the 2022 Senate.

The Democratic nominee would be leading by double digits and actually go on to win by that much. FL, TX, IA, OH, AK all flip.

Warren, Kloubuchar would probably be in, as well as Whitmer and Newsom.

Ds had the best midterm than any other inc Prez and we didn't gain seats in 2002 Midterm with Bush W we lost seats Rs were supposed to gain 30 H seats they gained 12
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2024, 10:57:58 AM »

Whitmer and Newsom would be leading a handful of D candidates still in  until Super Tuesday.

The GOP nominess by unanimous acclaim would, of course, be Donald Trump.

Yeah Newsom and Whitmer are doing so well they are losing to Harris in a Primary lol users need to stop WISHFUL thinking only if our Prez lost we would of picked up seats next Eday. The purpose of voting is to elect a D President
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2024, 11:15:49 AM »

If Biden is reelected Harris and Wes Moore are our nominees in 28 and if Biden is not Newsom is our nominee

Whitmer and Newsom are losing to Harris in the Primary they are not that strong

Lol Del Chi Klobuchar would have been nominated not socialist Warren

As I said wishful thinking we were gonna gain seats in an R midterm Rs underpolled anyways in 22
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2024, 11:19:39 AM »

After 8 years, Trump would probably be unpopular (approval in the low 40s.)

I think ambitious GOP pols like DeSantis, Hawley would prefer to sit out until 2028 in this scenario.  Pence is the GOP nominee.

After blowing both the 2016 and 2020 elections, the "establishment wing" of the DPUSA would be pretty shot.  They nominate Elizabeth Warren.

Warren vs Pence ends up being closer than expected, but Warren wins 286-252.
Probably low 30s. Trump does better on foreign policy but inflation and high interest rates were coming regardless of President.

Again just because the opposite party in WH doesn't guarantee Ds winning seats the purpose is to elect a D Prez, we lost seats in 2003 and we had a 911 Recession, in 2006 we won Congress due to Katrina and war in Iraq


We still don't know if Ds are gonna get the Filibuster proof Trifecta Biden has 41% Approvals in 22 and we gained seats in a D midterm
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2024, 12:26:24 PM »
« Edited: February 27, 2024, 12:31:00 PM by PHARAOH BAKARI SELLERS »

The problem in the rational is that if Trump won in 20 there wouldn't have been a J6, Rs underpolled in 22 due to J6, due to they should of gotten 30 they netted 12

Riverwalk continue to ignore my argument that in 2002 Ds lost seats in a Bush W midterm, we only gained seats in 2006 due to Katrina and Iraq. Rs won 60 seats in 2010 due to 11% unemployment

There is no guarantee that outparty gain seats in Midterms it just happens, that's why I want Biden reelected. There is no guarantee we gain seats in 26, if Trump wins he would do all he can to keep Congress in 26. Without VR we would lose the H
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2024, 12:39:05 PM »

What about all those radical right wing judges there will be more if Trump gets back into office.

That alone will be enough for me to vote D, they still would have an R next to their name even if Ds controlled the S . There are too many Trump judges already
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,842
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2024, 02:39:33 PM »

Riverwalk doesn't know everything he puts his trust in these polls and they aren't voting
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