What does a Trump+3 map even look like in the electoral college?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is gonna win 319 EC votes and we are gonna net 3 seats in S even Trump said Hawley, Fischer and Cruz are vulnerable

Biden is ahead in some polls Cgynal, Marist not all polls have Biden losing and Biden is gonna win CO, ME 2, MN and WI , NV, NM

Rs overperform in ME 2 whenever Collins in 20 is on the ballot, King is on the ballot

LOL WE HAVEN'T VOTED YET

Users think polls are the end all be all it's computer voting we vote on paper ballots

Of course Rs believe that they don't win very often I used to think polls but if we had Zogby online polls Biden would be ahead in TX,O, OH, MT NEB S races and NC G and Prez

Which are user based not R hack baded

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Given that’s where the current polling average is, it’s kind of tough to get there unless you do one of four things:

…

What does your map look like?

Electoral pattern nowadays, for a winning Democrat, is U.S. Popular Vote percentage-points margin and +21 or +22 to determine number of carried states; for a winning Republican, who does carry the U.S. Popular Vote, +28. (If not…up to +32.)

This is based on making sure the U.S. Popular Vote percentage-points margin is, as is most cases, on the positive side. 2000 and 2016 Republican pickup winners George W. Bush and Donald Trump carried 30 states. Their U.S. Popular Vote, adjusted to the positive side, would have been +2. Bush, with re-election in 2004, won by +2.46 and carried 31 states.

With the post-1980s Democrats, a 1992 Bill Clinton—a margin of +5.56 and 32 carried states—is the only exception from pattern. The party, when they won, has been on this pattern since 1960. A 1960 John Kennedy won by +0.16 with 22 states. A 1964 Lyndon Johnson won by +22.58 with 44 states. A 1976 Jimmy Carter won by +2.06 with 23 states. A 1996 Bill Clinton won by +8.52 with 31 states. A 2008 Barack Obama won by +7.26 with 28 states. A 2012 Obama won by +3.86 with 26 states. And a 2020 Joe Biden won by +4.45 with 25 states.

I figure if Election 2024 were to end up a Democratic hold, the 2020 map would be intact with at least one pickup. Most probable would be North Carolina. So, this would be done with a U.S. Popular Vote of +5 with 26 carried states.

To consider:
• A Democrat winning nationally by +5 would carry 26 or 27 states.
• A Republican winning nationally by +5 would carry 33 states.

The above map is based on a Republican winning the presidency and, with it, the U.S. Popular Vote. It is specifically a percentage-points margin of +3. Result would yield 31 carried states.

(Solid shades are party holds. Light shades are party pickups.)

I concur. It's Trump 2016 + Nevada.

Users don't understand the 303 map and D Sen inc running in swing states, and neither does Harris X and McLaughlin, there is no way Trump is gonna win by 8 pts and RFK takes 20, RFK is polling like Jorgensen

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A Trump 3 map is in the MOE and can be overcome come Eday with higher D turnout