What is more likely to happen in Florida? (user search)
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  What is more likely to happen in Florida? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What is more likely to happen in Florida?
#1
Trump wins the state by double digits
 
#2
Biden wins the state
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 81

Author Topic: What is more likely to happen in Florida?  (Read 1853 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: October 30, 2023, 01:31:13 AM »
« edited: October 30, 2023, 01:35:04 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Trump wins by double digits, though my hot take is that this isn’t the case for Texas.

It's an R 3 state , Trump is likely to win it because he is ahead in ztX by 8 and FL is similar to TX and he may pick DeSantis or Donalds as Veep. But Rev Barb already said donate to ALLRED not POWELL


Biden already said he is concentrating on 30e and let our S candidates win red states like Brown and ALLRED and Tester, that's why he is only blanketing airwaves in 303

There is an NAACP travel ban in FL and FL has a Cuban Embargo
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2023, 05:21:42 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2023, 05:25:38 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Ron DeSantis represents a state shaped like a wilted phallus. Coincidence? I think not.

It's shaped like Italy on purpose it has a Strong Sicilian like abd so does NY it's no accident that it looks like a boot


It's a red state abd we know that, Rs are trying to make PA a red state or NJ they have strong Italian and so does MO and LA, it's the same blue and red dive as always
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2023, 06:46:58 AM »

Part of me wants me to say it's a red state and part of me wants me to say blue state; however, it's not 22 with IAN. Facebook does have Debbie ahead by 1.

The reason why 2016 doesn't understand how Ds can win in FL is not because of party registration, MS has more Rs and KY has Dixiecrats but it's called split voting. Voting 2/3rds for an R state legislatures and DS or G candidate

Of course Rs have an ID in FL the state legislature is R that won't stop Debbie Powell, and anyways, I don't feel comfortable going into Eday having OH, NC, FL and TX Safe R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2023, 08:17:38 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2023, 08:24:19 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Trump wins the state by double digits. In fact, I think this will happen.

Lol the last poll had Scott up 45/41 so no Rs concede 90 percentage pts 9f the blk vote and 66 percent of Latino vote, we vote too you know it's not all Caucasian votes and females vote 50/50 whereas 75 percent white men vote R

Cook has it R 3 before Ian, it's a red state but it's not R 20 like in 2022 it's R 3
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2023, 10:36:20 AM »
« Edited: October 31, 2023, 10:40:29 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

@EastwoodS & @Devils30,
What do you think?




Unsure about Duval County. However I am certain Trump will take back Pinellas (he only lost to Biden by a mere 1,000 Votes there in 2020) and Seminole County and if current trendlines hold Trump wins Miami-Dade by about 15,000 Votes or so.
.

Yea FL is so red Cook R 3 state and Deegan won and Powell is up one on Facebook, this isn't 22 R 20 state, Cook has it R 3 it's wave insurance

Just because Rs outnumber Ds that doesn't mean Rs outnumbered us in MS and KY and MT and Tester, Beshear, and PRESLEY are gonna win, it just means Rs dominate the state and Fed Legislature

Powell is up 1 on Facebook and behind 45/41 to Scott not Rubio
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2023, 01:53:20 AM »
« Edited: November 03, 2023, 02:04:02 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

It's an R 3 state not R10 state, DeSantis won by 20 due to IAN you see he is losing the nomination to Trump he doesn't have 60 Approval , most of the Gov races were blowout anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,244
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2023, 12:39:55 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2023, 12:56:35 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

@Devils30 & @EastwoodS

The Cook Report similarly to Sabato has FLORIDA as Likely R in its new Electoral College Ratings published today.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings

Electoral College 2024 based on the Cook Report Ratings





Waves don't happen a yr prior to Eday OH is likely gone
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