NV (OHPI) - Trump +2, Desantis +6 against Biden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yea we have seen this before NV polls always underestimate Ds

D's always overperform on VBM ballots

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have a feeling Nevada could flip in 2024, when if Biden makes gains elsewhere in the country.

However, the number of undecideds make this poll useless.

LoL Jacky Rosen is on the ballot and doesn't have a challenge yea this poll is newsworthy only because RS are leading

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MARIST is the only pollster U trust on polls because they nailed NV, PA, GA and AZ last time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis +6 is an ominous sign for Biden, but more than a fifth of voters remain undecided.

It's still not good news for Biden: DeSantis polls much higher than Biden among Independents, see his FL reelection victory.

Biden can take comfort in the fact that DeSantis won't come out unscathed from the primary with Trump, or Trump running as an Indepdent.

But I doubt it: Trump will complain and whine around for a few weeks and then support DeSantis' nomination.

LoL it's a poll taken 2 yrs before Eday

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's the same pollsters posting all the time underestimate Biden all you want he is gonna win again it's a Prez Race not a Midterm

The same pollsters has Gallego comfortable ahead of all RS in AZ if Gallego is leading in AZ no way we lose NV and Jacky Rosen has no challenge yet and it's not Laxalt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I’m skeptical of most polling that shows Trump gaining relative to 2020.

I've seen no evidence whatsoever that he has won over any significant number of Biden voters, and there is absolutely no reason to believe that first-time voters in 2024 will favor Trump. He would have to count on Biden voters staying home, but I doubt that is going to happen.

There's no evidence Biden has gained over Trump voters either lol.

What is this statement? Is this what passes for a sick burn these day? I guess I really have to spell it out for you, but the reason I was focusing on Trump persuading Biden voters (not the other way around) was because there were more Biden voters than there were Trump voters. So that would presumably indicate that Biden/Trump voters are the people we should be looking for if we're talking about Trump gaining relative to 2020, which was the topic of the post I responded to and quoted in the post that you just quoted and responded to.

There is no evidence it's 6 mnths after we voted THINGS CHANGE IN 2 YRS, we are leading in MS, KY Gov MT S and NC Gov and LA Gov is a Runoff