ABC/Wapo: Trump +3

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ah, the "no shift from 2022" scenario.

LoL it's 2 yrs to Edays

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Waves happen at end of Eday cycles and Trump is under 3 investigations he's not winning by 3 over Biden

ABC wrongly had RS ahead of the GCB

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bogus poll two yrs out from Eday

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a poll 2 yrs out and it doesn't matter anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is actually very similar to the midterm generic ballot, but we do not know how this translates to swing states. Rs won the generic ballot by 2.8 in the midterms (1.6 once adjusting for uncontested races), but lost MI, and would've probably lost PA too without Fitzpatrick and Doyle's overperformances.

They would also only win AZ/WI by 2 and NV by about 3 (NV is probably also skewed by Amodei's overperformance, probably goes to <1 without). This would be quite precarious as if this were an electoral college map they were only 1 of AZ/WI from losing even with a 3 point popular vote lead.

RS haven't learned yet about WI, AZ and NV Evers, Hobbs, CCM won so no it does not translate into R wins

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ABC HAD RS AHEAD ON THE GCB 49/45 at any rate do you know what RS stand for they cut taxes for the rich that's why they can't win Labor states like MI, WI and PA they only win in the S in TX and FL due to SCOTUS gerrymandering Johnson won but Evers did too because of Kavanaugh gerrymandering the WI district

RS haven't won WI, PA andI since 2016 7 yrs and it split vote on Gary Johnson with Hillary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ABC HAD RS AHEAD ON THE GCB 49/45 at any rate do you know what RS stand for they cut taxes for the rich that's why they can't win Labor states like MI, WI and PA they only win in the S in TX and FL due to SCOTUS gerrymandering Johnson won but Evers did too because of Kavanaugh gerrymandering the WI district

RS haven't won WI, PA andI since 2016 7 yrs and it split vote on Gary Johnson with Hillary

And they won 50.6-47.8.

Your wrong they won the H PVI but lost the S and G PVI 49(48 I know that for a fact

Sorry to tell you that ABC poll was wrong, they still lost WI, PA, MI there wasn't any VA race at all so that skewed the PVI

The Senate map in my signature ensures the D's will keep the Blue wall Casey, Kaine, Baldwin, Rosen, and Slotkin aren't losing and WI R always underperforming in WI whenever Scott Walker or Ron Johnson aren't on the ballot Baldwin won in 2018 by 10

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Do I believe this poll no it's taken 6 mnths after we voted but it clearly is a neutral Environment anyways, it looks very similar to what we just did in Nov 22 which solidifies the Blue wall we did very well in MI state legislature and PA H we will win somemore WI state legislature seats not to be the majority and we have supermajority in NY, IL and CA state legislature

Obviously, TX, FL and Deep S have super R majorities but the only gotten a 5 seat H majority and 1 is already gone with Tom Suozzi def of Santos so it's 221/213, Green is retiring that's 220/214 we only need 3 more

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WI isn't going R the RS don't have a challenge to Tammy Baldwin and she beat Tommy Thompson and she won her race already by 10 pts last time and Gallagher is still on the H and hasn't changed no one yet

The idea that Baldwin is so weak is silly she beat Tommy Thompson

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

People think Trump is gonna win and he mounted an insurrection and we already voted against him 2*all his candidates lost in 22 and there is another poll that has Biden plus 4 over TRUMP