California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Schiff is gonna be the next Sen from CA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The person would still lose to Schiff. He’s tailor made for the #resist crowd

Barbara Lee would have the incumbent advantage and easily beat Schiff but without the incumbent advantage Schiff is the fav that's why she wanted Feinstein to retire

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pelosi is retiring after Hakeem Jeffries becomes Speaker she knows Ds are gonna win 10 seats in the CA  and NY redistricting, and win the majority that's gonna be 2026 to ensure there is a smooth Transition to a Filibuster proof Trifecta and we pass Voting Rights

That's why she is sticking around for 2 more yrs

McCarthy is the best managers in the H but we have a 7T annual budget deficit and Taxes only on the rich in part due to War in Ukraine is only 37% Warren Wealth Tax keeps our fiscal House in order that's why McCarthy is gonna lose his Speakership he won't raise rich taxes or pass immigration reform he can do it like Boehner and Ryan had 230 seats but he can't do that in a 5 seat majority he is gonna lose it

Most rich wants their taxes raised except Grover Norquist


Garcia is gone in CA to Frank CARILLO

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are getting Blunt Rochester and Angela Alsobrooks in the S anyways so we will like Barbara Lee that's why Tom Carper stepped down for a blk woman to take his place, he didn't want to retire but he was advised to by Harris and Biden set up for what's about to happen Voting Rights

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom pledged to appoint a Black woman, but Barbara Lee won't get the nod because she's currently in the Senate race, so who would that leave?

-London Breed
-Malia Cohen
-Sydney Kamlager-Dove
-Karen Bass
-Kamala Harris
-Lola Smallwood-Cuevas
-Shirley Weber

I imagine it won’t be Karen Bass. She was only elected Mayor in 2022, and she left Washington to take that post. I don’t think she’d leave so early in her term to accept what will likely only be an interim appointment (she already endorsed Barbara Lee for the full term).

Shirley Weber makes the most sense by far. She (ironically) succeeded Padilla as Secretary of State and is old enough to definitely not run again. She would probably happily be a senator for a year and a half as the end to her career.

The same could also be said of Maxine Waters. Both people who you would think are fine with a capstone and retirement.

London Breed isn't running for Senate
Maxine Waters isn't running for S she will die eventually
Karen Bass is Mayor
Harris is Veep

He is gonna be pressured by Ro Khana to Appoint Barbara Lee she has no Health issues

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Replacing the vice-president requires a majority vote in both houses of Congress.

Nomination is stalled
Speaker’s chair is vacated
Patty Murray becomes President

Lol Harris isn't running for S and Barbs Lee should be appointed even if not it's gonna help Barbara Lee chances putting a blk woman in position

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely replacement from state legislature or a Prosecutor not Lee, Newsom said it already but Porter was at 15 to Schiff 20, Lee is gonna replace Porter as the 2nd place finisher without Feinstein, it's a Runoff and it will be Lee and Schiff and Lee wins, because Bass beat Caruso in Runoffs

All Lee has to do is finish second not first and Lee and win the Runoff, Caruso was in same position as Schiff before Bass got Turnout she NEEDED

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rev Barber wants as many Blks in the S as possible that's why he recruited ALLRED, Alsobrooks and GALLEGO and Beto to break the Filibuster, he will be fighting for Lee especially since the Feinstein died, happen

Rev Barber and Michael Moore are interest groups just like Grover Norquist is that won't allow Rs to raise taxes, to fund the Ukraine war but it is hurting Rs all the swing Districts are in blue not red states

Iowa is the only red state that is going R all the others including MT are moving blue

If you think that Grover Norquist isn't pulling the strings on the Freedom caucus you are wrong he looks like Eric Trump and Vance and Don Jr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/sammyclaws12/status/1707814065848906141

Lol it's gonna be a blk woman there are plenty of blk Females 8n CA that's not waters, Bass, Lee, Harris, or Breed or Oprah's

Oprah isn't gonna do it she doesn't have any kids and she is like Condi Rice , but Feinstein acted like Ginsburg, too many people know there are gonna die but she refuses to resign..

You just don't die, I saw my mom die

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

When I return to CA I will vote Lee, she won't place 1st but 2nd against Schiff or Porter but if Porter makes 1st Lee will beat her in the runoff just like Bass beat Caruso

Clearly, having a blk woman in helps Lee especially in LA and SF and Sac areas, Schiff was clearly gonna win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He should

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At this point he should just appoint Schiff as a f*** you to Lee.

He won't appoint Schiff he wants to run for Prez in 28 and Blks and Latinos saved him during recall, Elder got 9 percentage pts of the blk vote but was polling very well before Eday


But, Harris and Moore are gonna be the nominees Newsom will lose MI and SC in 28 to Harris and James Harrison is almost guaranteed to run in SC for open Scott seat

That's why I have SC D it's changing like NC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Lee actually were appointed, do people think she would win the primary? It seems to me like CA voters are pretty sick of having an octogenarian senator. And appointed Senators lose primaries all the time.

Also, at best, Lee will only be able to serve one full term.

Yes, she would she will place second but Porter is obviously weaker than Schiff she would almost certainly beat Porter in a runoff but it would be iffy with Schiff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think your bias in favor of Lee is clouding your analysis of the race a bit.

It could be, but if you can find anywhere that I've shifted my view of what's important in the race then I'd like to see it. Even before Lee entered the race it was clear in my view that the most important thing to win an election in California is institutional support, and I don't know why I would change that view now. The number of prominent Democrats who have come out and said that they believe that Barbara Lee should be appointed shows the strength of their support for her. Why would I change my view of the race now, a handful of polls taken before the start of the campaign wherein most of the voters are undecided?

If Lee actually were appointed, do people think she would win the primary? It seems to me like CA voters are pretty sick of having an octogenarian senator. And appointed Senators lose primaries all the time.

Do you have reason to believe that California voters are sick of having an octogenarian senator, or is that just how you would personally feel? The last time they had a choice, California voters overwhelmingly reelected an 85-year-old to the Senate, and in the 2020 Democratic primary the top two candidates by a huge margin were Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden. I'm sure you know that age is rarely a barrier to being elected in this country and I'm not sure why it seems to you that all of a sudden things would be different in California.

My view is that Lee has a strong chance of winning the election even without the benefit of incumbency and that being an incumbent would significantly help her chances. Clearly others agree or else there wouldn't be any resistance to her being appointed.

Yes. High risk of death in first or second term.

Yeah Pelosi, Waters, Eleanor Holmes Norton, Biden, Trump are all in the same age group, lol it's about health not just ages, my mom died at 66 and my Aunt is 85 yrs old her sister, Lee has no disease right now

My mom could of survived she could of gotten chemo, she refuses

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, because Lee isn't sick, Feinstein should of resigned, it may for people voting against Lee anyways but to Latinos, blks and Married white women whom may be in same age group whom are voting for Porter or Lee, it won't. To white men, just like Harris is not well liked by White Evangelical men like Redban

As I said Latina women will gradually move towards Lee away from Schiff

We are mortals, Jesus had miracles behind him that's why he was questioning as a mortal but everyone will die but disease is a factor and Lee is out campaign with unions and isn't sick


Lee is only 77vyrs old and if she died, one of her two sons  can succeed her anyways , Tony or Carl Lee will be on the ballot

Maria Shriver should of run for this seat she is a saint in CA but she wont

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom is gonna Appoint Lee and Bass, Harris, Waters, and Breed are unavailable, he is running for Prez in 28 and needs blk vote although he only has a 25 percentage pts chance to beat Harris

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

London Breed doesn't want to be Sen she wants to stay as Mayor

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lee is the same age as Trump 77 yrs old and she can hand it off eventually to one of her sons, when she passes or retires.  No one wants an elderly Senator, but we need blks in the SEN

The only ones that dont like Lee or Harris are Evangelical White men, like Redban, white females, blks and Latinos and Arabs love Harris and Lee

Maria Shriver can get in, but she doesn't want it and Porter and Schiff aren't Shriver. We are gonna have an Eday let the voters decide, but she is disease free like my Aunt whom is 85 not my mom whom died at 66

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harris, Bass, Breed and Oprah are unavailable , after 1 or 2 T LEE will hand it off to her sons eventually

So, the user that points to age is null and void because Meeks family did the same in FL

The Rs demonized Barnes and he would of won without IAN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They won't be Sen it will be Lee Oprah repeat said she wants to stay private, she sponsors the View and OWN and Markle isn't gonna be Sen.


Stop playing games it's gonna be Lee or Breed but Breed is mayor

If Oprah was appointed, he would have done it on Fri and not waisted Time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It was never Oprah

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They always talk about Ds death LBJ v Reagan, Lee v Biden, they never talk about how old Trump is he is 77 like Lee

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

👀

https://twitter.com/secupp/status/1708464810763919811

This story feels invented by people who love to hate Meghan, to invoke the response of "Oh no Meghan is getting even more delusional these days!"

It would admittedly be very funny to see how the media (especially the Royal Family-for-Americans media complex) would treat a campaign of hers but it 100% won't happen

It absolutely can happen, she isn't a royal, she is the Duchess she isn't a working Royal and Newsom didn't break his promise to Appoint a blk woman

She will absolutely vote for Warren Wealth tax and reparations like all blk celebrities want except Grover Norquist

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I've gone ahead and written a rough draft of a statement for Gavin Newsom that he can feel free to use:

"A few years ago, I pledged that, if tasked with the duty to make another appointment to one of California's U.S. Senate seats, I would name an African-American woman to the seat. At the time, it was clear to me that this was an absolute necessity. The ascendence of then-Senator Kamala Harris to the Vice Presidency had left the United States Senate without representation for Black women, something that I and many others found, and still find, unacceptable.

Fortunately, since I made that pledge nearly two and a half years ago, recent developments in U.S. Senate races in states like Delaware, Maryland, and potentially more to come have made it a near certainty that it will be the voters who will rectify this problem. I'm also cognizant of the fact that, for what is now the second time I can remember, a Black woman is a major, viable candidate for the U.S. Senate right here at home in our own upcoming election. I hope all Californians will join me in celebrating this incredible milestone.

I'm also cognizant of the fact that the first round of voting in our upcoming U.S. Senate election is far too close for comfort - less than half a year away - for me to unduly influence the democratic process by giving a candidate in that election an unfair advantage with an appointment to the seat.

That is why I'm incredibly pleased to share that former U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer has agreed to briefly come out of retirement to serve out the remainder of the late, great Senator Feinstein's term. Senator Boxer and Senator Feinstein long enjoyed a strong working relationship and friendship. She will return to the Senate with seniority, and there is nobody better to manage the transition from Senator Feinstein to our new Senator who will be elected next year, while also serving Californians ably and with distinction, than her."

This…. is oddly perfect. I applaud this

Boxer isn't coming out of retirement

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I guess Lee literally bullied her way into a seat.

https://twitter.com/andrewdesiderio/status/1708600537367621936?s=46&t=XC6qQa...


At least we aren’t getting Senator Schiff

It's Markel