California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R) (user search)
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  California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R) (search mode)
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Author Topic: California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)  (Read 67313 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #100 on: January 22, 2024, 11:57:13 AM »
Schiff ads are crushing the airwaves yeah he is going to be the next Sen not Porter Garvey came in and took the runoff away from Porter
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #101 on: January 23, 2024, 03:54:21 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on January 22, 2024, 11:59:19 PM
Schiff just running crap ads all "I stood up to Trump" girl who cares talk about the issues


He was an impeachment manager and Rs blocked the Jt Commission lead by McCarthy
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #102 on: January 23, 2024, 10:01:16 AM »
Adam Schiff is clearly the next S the DS need his fundraising just like Trone has fundraising ability
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #103 on: February 03, 2024, 03:50:18 PM »
Porter is surging again, as I said if its Schiff v Garvey Schiff or if it's Schiff v Porter it's Porter
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #104 on: February 22, 2024, 04:21:21 PM »
Garvey isn't getting 24 but 20 percent
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #105 on: February 25, 2024, 09:59:12 PM »
Schiff is Sen Elect
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #106 on: March 06, 2024, 01:02:36 AM »
Schiff will win just like Biden 55)45 CA
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #107 on: March 06, 2024, 01:26:07 AM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 06, 2024, 01:12:18 AM
Barbara Lee was such an anti-war icon and it's a sad way to end an amazing career.


There are a bunch of other statewide races in 26 Porter and Lee can do and be delegates at DNC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #108 on: March 06, 2024, 06:03:33 AM »
« Edited: March 06, 2024, 06:09:36 AM by Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers »

Garvey lost , you cant be serious , he advance to runoff but he's only did it by D split vote. Porter got embarrassed
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #109 on: March 06, 2024, 09:55:07 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on March 06, 2024, 09:46:48 AM
Quote from: Holmes on March 06, 2024, 08:24:36 AM
Very sad state of affairs for the CA GOP when a "good night" for them is just advancing to the general election.

Yup, though this is the first senate election for a GOP candidate to advance to the senate election in November since adoption of the jungle primary after 2012.


Garvey can't cut into SF, LA Oak and Sacramento he will end up at 45 while Schiff gets  53/55
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #110 on: March 07, 2024, 08:16:25 PM »
Quote from: Annatar on March 07, 2024, 06:05:51 PM
Question is whether Garvey can exceed Dahle's performance in 2022, he lost by 18.4%. Something like a 59-41 outcome would be a good showing by Garvey.

Schiff will win 52/45 don't let Garvey vote fool you it was held down Schiff with split vote with Porter
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #111 on: March 07, 2024, 08:53:54 PM »
Schiff is gonna win by 5/7 pts and Biden is gonna win CA 55/45
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #112 on: March 08, 2024, 10:23:57 AM »
It's not gonna be that close Schiff is gonna win 5/7 pts Garvey only did well on a split vote
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #113 on: March 09, 2024, 12:08:18 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on March 09, 2024, 12:01:08 PM
47% in: D+16.3 (57.3-41.0)
53% in: D+16.7 (57.5-40.8 )
58% in: D+17.5 (57.9-40.4)
68% in: D+19.1 (58.7-39.6)

We'll see where it goes from here; I don't think it's as foreseen that it goes back down for Ds, but we'll see. It seems like the turnout may have been a bit underestimated; LA County for example has kept revising its total for a couple days now as more come in

Schiff will win 52/45 by 5/7 points over all
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #114 on: March 13, 2024, 01:18:34 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on March 13, 2024, 12:09:34 PM
It was the right strategic thing to do and Schiff is going to be the next senator  from CA but you have to wonder if deep down Schiff wishes he had spent a few million less boosting the campaign of Garvey. Better safe than sorry I guess.

No he didn't Porter split the D vote that's why Schiff didn't do that well more people took D not R ballots in CA

White females voted overwhelming for Katie Porter, I knew that a vote for Porter would be a vote for Garvey so I didn't vote for Porter, her career is over, it's irony that she was the heavy fav to win the seat after Feinstein died and went to 3rd place. She embarrassed herself
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #115 on: March 14, 2024, 01:56:54 AM »
It doesn't matter Porter split the vote with Schiff, Schiff is gonna win 5/7 pts with Porter voters
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #116 on: March 14, 2024, 08:53:04 AM »
The narrative is that Garvey win but he only won as I stated before, on a split vote
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #117 on: March 21, 2024, 10:08:55 PM »
Why haven't they polled this race, I know Schiff maybe leading by 5
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