MI-SEN 2024 Megathread - Meijer out

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wish Stabenow can retire..this is probably a good time for a younger Dem to take this seat

Lol she is 72 yrs old the same as WARREN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obviously, they told her to retire, they want someeone younger, I wish Warren would retire

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They'll find a candidate it's Prez campaign

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Debbie "Queen Levin" Stabenow was always weaker than a generic D, so this is good news for Democrats' prospects of holding this seat. I’d be very surprised if this one flipped before PA or WI — probably the safest of the vulnerable Democratic-held seats.

You honestly believe a poll 2 yrs before Eday that shows Casey losing


The only way if we lose a 303 State is if PPP or a Marist poll shows us losing and Inside Advantage had Oz winning by Marist had Fetterman ahead but we lost OH because Marist had Ryan down 1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's so far away from primary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

RS have zero candidate that's gonna win a 290 and GA can flip but NC is vulnerable due to Stein winning Gov

DeSantis isn't winning with that map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This one's Lean R (at least until we get an idea of who the candidates will be).

While Republicans have a weaker bench, they will have momentum on their side in 2024.

LoL do you know Biden has the exacta same Approvals he had  Nov 22 it's Rassy 47/51 GCB 48/44 D and it's gonna he Slotkin we solidified the blue wall and unless a Marist or PPP poll shows we lose a 303 state we will win them because Marist had Fetterman plus 4 and Trafalgar had Oz plus 3


That poll that has Mastriano ahead by 5 is fake over Casey it's not Marist or PPP they wouldn't publish a poll 2 yrs out


Marist is the most accurate poll in a 303 it's the MXDX ot the 303

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna be Sen Slotkin, Sen Schiff and Sen GALLEGO, I hope Feinstein takes her cue  and retires

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We also need that Feinstein to retire

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gilchrist has my support, though I don’t know if I’ll be voting in Michigan in 2024.

Isn't Gilchrist more likely to run for governor in 2026 instead? However, I think both races present good opportunities for him to advance.

Whitmer would be an obvious candidate as well, though I'd bet she's having an eye on 2028 instead. Especially since sources now report Biden is indeed very likely to run for reelection.

Whitmer won't beat Harris she already said she has no place to be in DC, Harris is gonna be PREZ

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's Lean D anyways Biden isn't losing a 303 state in a Prez yr with his name on the ballot we didn't lose one in 2022, except WI Senate and if Barnes was running this yr he would beat Johnson in a Prez yr


It's a 51/49 Senate we win OH, MT or WVA and probably MO, Kunce bailed D's out with no brand name candidate in FL and TX

We don't have to won PVI by 10 to win red states Obama won 52/46 both in 2008/2012 and won red states a 4/6 pt PVI is surfice

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Glad to see it after RS did so much to stop Barnes FROM getting Elected

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's tilt D anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In a Prez race RS chances of winning this seat is the same as D's winning TX or FL, that's why Stabenow retired to give D's a better chance

Greg Peters was endangered in 2020 and he pulled out a narrow win WI, MI and PA it's not 2016 anymore didn't WI Gov and NV, AZ PA 22 teach RS anything, blks and Latinos are understated especially in blue states, and about the blue wall when most RS said Fetterman and Evers were doomed and Garlin GILCHRIST said he may enter in 24

There are a lot of Blks that can swing a close race in DTW when Biden campaign we won the state legislature it's not gonna flip in 24

That's why you as a D can discount the ABC poll that has Trump up 3 they had RS up 49/45 on the GCB before Eday 22 why because undercut blk and Latinos

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a Neutral Environment not R Lean yr as of now in that scenario MI won't go R and we won MI state legislature, RS forget about, but things can change by 2024 to a blue wave, it was a neutral yr in 22 too RS were the only ones calling it red wave because the H but they only won 220 not 230 seats because the S and Gov went neutral

RS need to stop calling it red wave because a Trump plus 3 lead isn't gonna hold up with his scandal and blks and Latinos and females voting D the same ABC poll had RS plus 4 near Eday 22 that's how you know it's a neutral not red leaning yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean D, Ds just won the state legislature

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs aren't winning this race we took the state legislature, sorryy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one is making a mistake underestimating all the Trump followers we just won the state legislature in MI and the H in PA the RS in a Prez yr aren't winning MI, WI or PA and we have Biden leading Trump and DeSantis by 4 and Trump and his inner circle are about to get indicted in GA that's what makes Biden leads so important that's why your R nut map was wrong because indictments are coming

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

RS have zero chance in WI, MI and PA we are gonna net gain seats in the state legislature, the RS always underperforming in WI wjen Ron Johnson isn't on the ballot and he is DOA in 28 unless he and Collins vote for Voting Rights not on the rule but on passage if Gallego and D's successful in getting a Filibuster proof Trifecta

A 52/48 is a 222 D H and 53 D S but a 240 H and 53 D S is a 52/45 Biden isn't under 50 because he beats in You Gov PPP and Echelon DeSantis and Trump 52/48 and we can do better in the S and not that well in the H and it still reflects more than 303 EC votes, like Obama did in 2012 it was 52/48 and we won MO S. 303 isn't set in stone in the Constitution

No RS are posting in WI 24 like MT Treasure did so much in 22 because Johnson is not up in 24

Collins is likely to vote for Voting Rights in 24, not Ron Johnson. Hakeem Jeffries is on Act Blue now saying 24 is so critical, RS did it to themselves they have no budget but Hunter laptop after promising tackling inflation when they got the H, like Boehner sat on minimum wage and there were no Labor shortages on Benghazi

I am gonna donate but I am investing my money till next yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

The RS has no chance in this race we flipped the state legislature and expected to gain more seats in WI and MI and PA, WI we are the minority party but we are gonna pick up a couple of seats

In MI and PA we are expecting to add more seats to our Increased majority in PA H which is tied and H and S in MI

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Slotkin is gonna win anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

RS have no chance in this race we just flipped the MI state legislature anand Shapiro is in PA and WI we are about to net gain the state SCOTUS and enhance voting rights in WI

We are gonna gain another couple of seats in all three state legislature PA H

Debbie Stabenow dropped out she didn't want to face Mejer and said Slotkin would do better against him

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Bill Huizenga
Lisa McClain
Peter Meijer

One of those 3 would be decent.

I'm not too sure about McClain, but I agree that Meijer would be one of the GOP's strongest possible candidates here. Needless to say, though, it's doubtful whether he could win the primary.

RS have no chance in this race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good poll