AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

LoL Gallego is leading Lake, RS aren't winning with Lake, RS are bleeding support from White Females Janet Protasicwz was a White Female


RS forget what happened to them in 2006/2012 when they contested NJ with MENENDEZ scandel with Kean Jr and Bob MENENDEZ still won, Latinos win, look at Rubio and Gallego is Mexican, and he is popular and friends with Tim Ryan and Sherrod Brown

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

How many Democrats/Dem leaners she’s able to siphon off will depend on what the DSCC, Biden, Obama, Hobbs, and Kelly decide to do. If they play hands off, she’ll get more. If they all endorse Gallego, then I think Sinema will be irrelevant.

It's not Democrats that cause issues for Gallego, he will win over 95% of them. The problem is the Dem coalation in Arizona does not have the votes to win without the McCainites who could fall for Sinema. Any erosion there could be fatal for Gallego and it doesn't help him that he is unapologetically progressive. Trump was able to win Arizona in 2016 with 48% of the vote because Gary Johnson got a good chunk of the vote with that demographic.

Obviously. But these people would take their cues from the figureheads that a vote for Sinema is essentially a vote for Lake/Lamb. In the end, I don’t think many actual “McCainites” (I’m skeptical that many of them exist anymore—they seem to be solid Democrats now since 2018) would actually vote for Sinema knowing it could hand the seat to Lake.

But if these “McCainites” vote for a progressive like Gallego, they would be voting for someone who has nothing in common with what John McCain's positions were, so do you really see that happening? Gallego is to the left of even Kelly. People that voted for John McCain all those years were in no way progressives.

You are wrong McCain was Environmentalist just like Teddy Roosevelt, AZ, CA, WA, OR, NV, NM and CO are Wildfire States he was pupil of Nixon and Ford that started the EPA
 
Judd Gregg, Norm Coleman, Susan Collins, Olympia Snowe and Lincoln Chafee and McCain were all against drilling in Arctic

Nixon was a Moderate Republican and Ford they were pro Environment because they Appointed John Paul Stevens and Harry Blackmun pro Environment to SCOTUS

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema is DONE did users take notice of WI plus 11 that proves that Approvals are bogus Biden is in Rassy sitting at 48/50 not 40/58

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a sense of Doomerville and Eday is next yr not this yr

Especially AZ, OH and all we need is 1 red leaning battleground MT, WV, FL, TX and MO the RS have no room for error they got lucky last time with DeSantis bounce on IAN and Johnson, Vance and Budd all narrowly survived

It was an IAN bump for RS because DeSantis is doing lousy in polls and so are RS , Obama got it from Sandy in 2012

Budd and Rubio would survive been in 24 but Vance and Johnson would have lost and Thune and Grassley in a yr like 24

That's why Kunce can win he has the same Appeal as Tim Ryan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All states are red and blue except the Dakotas that are perm red, AZ like TX, like FL is heavily blk and Latino populated look at the Senators that are Latino that won Rubio, Cruz he can lose in 24 to a blk candidate, Rubio and Bob MENENDEZ

2006/12 MENENDEZ was about to lose, Kean Jr and what did he remind voters he supports Comprehensive immigration reform that's why Gallego will win the S race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema will obviously take more D votes than Rs. I don't see how Ds win this, it's just become a terrible situation.

Sinema is an extremely toxic topic in Democratic voting circles, if anything she'll more likely take votes away from disenfranchised McCainite Republicans

"McCainite Republicans" voted Hobbs and our at this point a part of a winning Democrat coalition in AZ.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/opinions/kari-lake-mccain-arizona-republicans-gabriel/index.html

Lake came very close to winning despite telling McCain supporters not to vote for her.

Sinema is incredibly unpopular in left wing voting circles but those McCain Republicans  are likely voters that dems still need in AZ

As I said like Rubio, Bob MENENDEZ and Ted Cruz whom all win, Gallego supports Comprehensive immigration reform RS forgotten they got smoke by MENENDEZ with Kean Jr whom is Rep not S he lost in 2006 on immigration reform

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Some users don't understand Blk and FEM and Latino vote can make up 5percent of the vote especially in blue states that's why Oz, Laxalt, Masters and Walker all lost their leads

2000/04/16 where RS won were pre Pandemic world

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ruben Gallego wins somewhere with 3 pts like Kelly but under 50

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema will obviously take more D votes than Rs. I don't see how Ds win this, it's just become a terrible situation.

Sinema is an extremely toxic topic in Democratic voting circles, if anything she'll more likely take votes away from disenfranchised McCainite Republicans

"McCainite Republicans" voted Hobbs and our at this point a part of a winning Democrat coalition in AZ.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/opinions/kari-lake-mccain-arizona-republicans-gabriel/index.html

Lake came very close to winning despite telling McCain supporters not to vote for her.

Sinema is incredibly unpopular in left wing voting circles but those McCain Republicans  are likely voters that dems still need in AZ

Yeah. It’s hard for me to tell if these folks are officially Ds (since so many have now voted that way for 8 years…) or can be lured back. My guess is yes to both

Where are you getting 8 years from? Ducey 2014? McCain 2016? It's more like 4 years starting in 2018 with Sinema.

A lot of them didn’t vote for Trump in 2016. He had a very poor showing for top of ticket R

Yes most of them voted Gary Johnson, but my point is they voted Republican in other races as recently as 2016. I'm very skeptical they voted for Kirkpatrick over McCain.

Have you seen the WI results you guys lost by 11 and Casey is up 17 Gallego isn't losing he is Latino like Rubio, Cruz and MENENDEZ

He has been ahead in every single poll over Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

,3* loser

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one is beating Gallego he is Latino, Cruz was vulnerable because of ALLRED otherwise he would be safe Kean tried to defeat MENENDEZ in 2006:and lost and Kean is targeted in 23 H race and you see what happened to Demings and Rubio's

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallego isn't losing this rave he is Latino, how did MENENDEZ survive 2006 with Kean Jr he was pro immigration reform just like GALLEGO and so was Rubio, Cruz and Hawley and Scott are vulnerable because Rod Joseph, ALLRED and Kunce are good Candidates just like Presley is competitive in MS an R 22 state I told AZ Iced Tea this many times

Gallego has a 50 plus Approvals like Rubio he is only polling below 50 due to Sinema

He has lead in every polls , not 1 poll has him losing

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallego has lead in every poll with all Rs, AZ is Safe D

Did Rs see that jobs reports Ds aren't losing 303 with 3 percentage pts Approval Rs act like it's 10 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Rs loses AZ it's over they can't win even with DeSantis the EC college without AZ because WI and VA goes D and GA

Fox news got into trouble to call AZ early and not to mention R problems in OH, MO, FL, TX and NC Rs ratings don't matter on red states as Steve Konraki says the maps are blank Obama and Clinton win red states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Manchin is in the same boat Manchin won't win the WH with Biden and won't beat Justice and no major independence have gotten more than 3% he is gonna get Jerguson numbers in the Prez race it's a waste of time running for S or Prez

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Casey is up by 9 pts he isn't losing they didn't learn their lesson last time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't donate until June 24 anyways you don't donate major dollars like it's 2012/16

Just like it's fun to make nut maps but donating is a total different story the polls that came out shows Trump up AZ and GA 52)48 and BIDEN UP 52)48 IN WI, PA and MI but Trump isn't up 4 in AZ and GA

Winning TX, FL and MO is far fetched but winning AZ, OH and MT and winning 218 in the H is feesible

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema has decent odds of winning if her opponents are Gallego and Lake. Very easy to paint the far-left vs far-right vs centrist approach in that situation. Its like catnip for white suburbanites.

Lol she at 15% in every poll I know what you Rs think so she can block the Filibuster proof Trifecta

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Has been she will lose again

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallego has this

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ and GA are Safe D states now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Masters seems to have learned from his mistakes. I don’t know if it will be enough to beat Gallego but Lake would be far weaker

Masters would still lose

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Masters didn't lose with mistakes Kelly and GALLEGO served in Armed forces Kelly Air Force and Gallegos Marine

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Maricopa county as I went thru it is solid D now