Early Voting thread.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If we lose NV or AZ it will be Gov Lombardo and Lake but SEN Kelly and CCM will go back to the SEN


Thats why OH is so intriguing it did the same as AZ in 2018 Ducey and Sinema won and DeWine and Brown won we can see split voting in Gov Kemp, Lombardo, DeWine and Sen CCM, Kelly, Warnock and Ryan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Current numbers don't look god for Dems in NV, but we don't know what numbers will be like in 7 days. Mail remains biggest question. How much is there to be counted and what are the margins. So too early to tell for both sides where they are. One caveat I have is numbers in FL look really really really bad for Dems and I know that states didn't corelate much in 2020, but at some point one would think that NV,AZ,PA and GA especially couldn't vote like 10 pts to the left of FL.

Lol we're not losing NV you can say it all you want and we're not losing OR the National trends if Early voting is 47/35 D

CCM is leading and every poll and Sisolak, it's a 303 map anyways watch


Most Ds live in the North CA, DC, IL, NY DTW, MKE anyways 279 blue wall

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.immigrantjusticefund.org/press/2022/10/31/new-poll-shows-battleground-state-voters-want-candidates-to-deliver-pro-immigrant-solutions

HART just confirmed the 303 blue 🧱🧱🧱

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It won't matter in CA and MD Wes Moore is gonna win by a landslide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't get why people are Dooming on OH I can see FL but Sherrod Brown has to win anyways in 24 and he is campaign for Whaley and Ryan, the Polls underestimate the blk, Muslim and female vote and Sherrod Brown win in 2018 because Trump isn't on the ballot we are the Dogs but it's a difference between declaring a Dog and throw OH in the trash

We can all Doom on OH should Ryan loses but I still have Donated Center Street Pac not Tim Ryan that gives money to Fetterman, McMullin, Kelly too and they probably gonna endorse Ruben Gallego and Brown should Gallego run in 24 for Senate

Just like users like S019 Doom on WI there were multiple polls yesterday and a MQK coming out tomorrow Barnes up two Evers down 4 and then of course we got that ridiculous Johnson plus 8 number, 4 and 2 pts is MOE

That's why after 50 D seats it's called wave insurance anyways, 51 and up will help Ds solidify the S for 24 ANYWAYS

We don't have to win a single R state to win the S NH, NV, GA, AZ will give us a 51/50 Senate but UT, FL, WI, PA, NC and OH are vulnerable

We're gonna win PA and GA or WI for 51/49 Fox power rankings have that but what if OH, NC, UT come in for Da

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Georgia

Day 15 AIP (+ABM) Voting: 149,794 voters cast ballots Monday, for a grand total of 1,810,427 votes.

Looking like the black vote has been sufficiently cannibalized at this point.

Breakdown of Monday's voters:

Code:

90075 	White	60.13%
39004 	Black	26.04%
2915         Asian	1.95%
2858    	Latino	1.91%
14942 	Other	9.97%

80922	Female	54.02%
68491 	Male	        45.72%	
381          Other         0.26%

Total votes thus far:

Code:

1042146	White	57.56%
538808	Black	29.76%
31443	Asian	1.74%
30092       Latino	1.66%
167938	Other	9.28%

996006	Female	55.01%
810623	Male	        44.78%	
3798	        Other	0.21%

So in short, Warnock's probably going to lose based on the early vote.

Lol.its a Runoff state stop Dooming beforee next Tuesday, neither candidates are hitting 50 percent, it's good to be optimistic until ALL THE RACES ARE CALL ARENT YOU A RED NOT BLUE AVATAR YOU SOUND VERY MUCH LIKE S019 BUT HE IS MORE DOOMERISH

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/nc-early-voting-beating-2018-225110246.html

Early voting is beating 2018 norms and the Senate race is 44/43 Budd

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said with these conflicting polls the non Evangelical single person vote not 18/29 yr olds but Single person whom are mostly minority and single moms are underpolled that's why you have DeSantis plus 13 and Crist is ahead in a Listener poll 53/47 and DEMINGS in now only down 50/46 FL isn't all she wrote 🤞 my fingers for wave insurance Howard Dean said on MSNBC that Val DEMINGS will win he didn't say anything about Crist winning , a Victory poll has DEMINGS only down 50/46, told you FL isn't over right after Listening poll yesterday had Crist ahead 53/47

The R polls of course oversample Married Evangelical votes they are phone polls single people uses internet Polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We only have 5 days we will see

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

PA, NH, GA, AZ SEN are Lean D
WI, OH, NC, FL, UT are Tossups

I never bought users saying like Devil's and Eraserhead saying Red states are gone

Yesterday had DEMINGS down 2/4 pts and now NC is tied

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is an underpolled of Afro American votes in Red states including WI SEN

I DID THE POLLS IN COLLEGE NATURALLY I GOT PHONE POLLS R EVANGELICAL AND CAMPUS POLLS D COLLEGE STUDENTS WHICH DO INTERNET POLLS

All my Female TAs we're D and College Professional we're R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

More Ds are gonna vote same day than before because it's no pandemic like last time Ds still outnumbering Rs 47/35

We only got 4 days and 12 hrs to go

Mon that's it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/forget-polls-election-far-over-080003381.html

This article says forget the poll Ds are more pathways to win than Rs due, die to 303 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't worry guys, there definitely will be 20,000 votes by mail that magically appear in Clark County...yes totally

We have 4 days and 12 hrs tomorrow it will be 3 days and 12 hrs we need to just wait stop worrying so much it's anxiety

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I opened up my prediction again to all D wins it's no telling until all the Projections not prediction are made our mock maps are not ratings maps as some users think it can be inaccurate

As long as you vote, you can't vote twice just wait until Eday we will soon find out it really doesn't matter whom wins because under Trump and Biden we are sti stuck in a Pandemic Rs or Trump aren't Christ and wave a wand otherwise Trump would of gotten reelected it's an Endemic

Unless you are an athlete or celebrity or inheritance from UK or Ireland like Kennedy you aren't rich unless you win the Lottery

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map anyways just watch Fetterman, WARNOCK and Barnes win because it will follow our Govs Edays

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Here are the PA early voting for those that already voted everyone are Dooming on Ds chances it's not Dooming

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1588392767805587457?s=20&t=Mph43ZPpKfiB7xXjSdee6Q

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am not worried I trust blk and Brown and female Voting g that goes D and there are gonna be 300K statewide provisional ballots that always get counted late and the military isn't all R anymore half the military now are females because we aren't in a major war anymore

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before there can be split voting in a lot of these states NV, AZ and GA every poll has come out showing R GOVs doing better than the R Senators Lombardo, Lake and Kemp can be elected and CCM and Kelly and Warnock can be reelected too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Only 42 M Early voting for those making R nut maps NV, PA, WI, OH, NC and UT are still in play AK, KS, OK, SD and OR GOV, AZ And GA Govs are still in play and they are expecting 130M votes so there is no Red wave yet, except in FL and TX

Obama skipped FL and endorsed Beasley and polls have been all over the place in OH Ryan was up 48/39 in Aug now they have Vance ahead 8 gimme a break it's gonna come down to wire

ESPECIALLY SD AND OK GOVS THEY WERE CLOSE LADT TIME

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map and NC and W1, UT and OH are still up for grabs the OK poll showing Stitt ahead now confirms it's a 303 map CCM, Fetterman, Kelly aren't losing on Eday and GA is going to runoff and Johnson isn't ahead by 5 if Evers is tied in the Gov poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're gonna win WI for sure and PA and GA fir sure, look at OJ, KS, and SD those are battlegrounds SD Gov , OK GOV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds outpace Rs in AZ 39/37 Pa 70/30 and OH 44/39 I don't see how Oz, Masters and Vance win, and ah yes Vance is up by 7 LV and up only 1 in RV and WI Ds are outvoting R ah yes Johnson is up only 1 in CNN by by 5 in R polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am so glad this is a wave insurance seats and not for Senate control McConnell would have definitely seized the opportunity to obstruct