Will the Senate be called on Election Night? (user search)
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  Will the Senate be called on Election Night? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 64

Author Topic: Will the Senate be called on Election Night?  (Read 1686 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,024
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: July 17, 2022, 03:41:15 AM »

D's are likely to hold the S if we don't win PA, WI or OH it won't be called it would go to a runoff in GA but D's are favored in  those states right now and Biden won Maricopa CTY anyways last time and Lake is losing anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,024
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2022, 08:33:19 PM »

Yes when Ryan wins the seat or Barnes it will solidify 51 votes

We have a bunch of wave insurance seats it's over if FL, SD, IA, MO are called well before the WC votes in CA, WA and AZ

NV will be called quickly for CCM
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,024
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2022, 06:39:27 AM »

Probably not given how 2 races that are likely to be close are on the western half of teh US (AZ and NV) plus those states tend to count slow and also are hard to analyze as well as some other states cause so much vote is from one mega-county which decreases confidence in how the outstanding vote will skew hence taking it longer to call. If Clark County was split into 10 regions, NV likely could've been called a lot sooner.

If D's win a wave insurance seat OH, SD, FL NC IA it will be called because we will win our CA, WA, AZ, NV and WA seat but they will wait til all the WC states are called but you believe in R nut maps and the two special election shows otherwise

SD is in play this time Kristi Noem is under  investigation, just like Trump is dragging down the R brand as you say D's have a 1/3 chance of winning it

If we win SD Gov Thune will LOSE, you weren't on the forum when we won ND in 2012
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,024
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2022, 06:41:53 AM »

No, it won't be called until December, because control of the Senate will be determined by the Georgia runoff.

No it won't because we are gonna win WI
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,024
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2022, 12:45:16 PM »

All I know is this- if Masters wins it will not be called on election night. It will be close if he wins and AZ has a d counting bias

Lol Masters won't beat Kelly he has lost every poll CCM will win 51/49 and Kelly ,51/48 just like Biden won in 2020 and Hillary won NV 51)49
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