Change Research (D) NH, GA, NV, AZ polls. (user search)
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  Change Research (D) NH, GA, NV, AZ polls. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Change Research (D) NH, GA, NV, AZ polls.  (Read 816 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: June 30, 2022, 05:07:22 PM »
So much for Biden 36% Approval that IPSOS has him and Act blue has Demings tied 46/48

Rs haven't lead in a single AZ poll some think on the compiled map it's safe R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2022, 05:10:29 PM »
Laxalt isn't winning sorry MT Treasure
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2022, 06:42:34 PM »
Quote from: Xing on June 30, 2022, 06:22:02 PM
All of these seem very generous to Democrats, though the biggest outlier is definitely AZ (NH is also quite hard to buy.)

It's not an outlier just because your candidate is losing, I can say TX is an outlier because QU has it 5 not 10

Obviously, Abbott won't win by 10 Biden lost TX by 6
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: June 30, 2022, 07:39:06 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on June 30, 2022, 07:36:14 PM
Cortez Masto looks close to finished. Democrats probably have a better shot in PA and even WI honestly.

Lol
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2022, 07:00:05 AM »
Crist, Fetterman, Ryan and Mark Kelly are our strongest recruits and Mark Kelly has serve 2 yrs not 5 so Rs targeting him isn't helpful to their cause because he hasn't finished out his 6 yr term
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: July 01, 2022, 12:49:51 PM »
538 is wrong about Rs having a 55% chance with PA it guarenteed a 51/50 S with Harris and weak links in WI, LA Runoff, NC, IA, GA, OH, MO and NC there are 20Rs up and 14Ds

The Rs won't hold all their open seats, guarentee NC, and OH open seats are the most vulnerable
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