In which governors races will Dems perform better than 2018 (in terms of margin?)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Leave it to Progressive Moderate to say D's chances are worse than 2018 did you know we won less votes than we did overall than 2020, I am not sure the vote Total we didn't win 80M votes why did we do better than in 2020, because Trump voters didn't come out

RS UNDERPERFORMED in KY Gov race too when Trump wasn't on the ballot, Rs are not gonna get 75 M votes like last time, it's probably 75/60 M it's VBM but D's can certainly get to 80 M but Rs aren't assured 75 M.
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FL, deSantis won by .5 we can still win, because DeSantis UNDERPERFORMED in 2018 it's a myth that's he's gonna win by double digits and if we win FL or TX we can certainly win the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In addition to the already named, Newsom could actually outperform his 2018 margin. He already tied that performance in the 2021 recall.

Oregon is a remote possibility, too, as Kate Brown underperformed in 2018. She did even worse than in the 2016 special election, in a much less Democratic friendly year.

Another possibility is New York. While it's not superlikely, Hochul could exceed Cuomo's margin or at least the 59% vote share.

It's obviously FL, you guys really think DeSantis is gonna win by 12 and he won by 0.5 last time against a Socialist, Crist can certainly win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL DeSantis isnt winning by 9/12 pts he underpolled Gillum by 0.5

FL and TX X are keys to keeping the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis won by 0.5 I seriously doubt D's are contesting VT since Sue Minter and Zuckerberg aren't running and Idaho

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's obviously FL, you guys really think DeSantis is gonna win by 12 and he won by 0.5 last time against a Socialist, Crist can certainly win

The Democrats have no feasible shot at flipping the governorship in Florida.

Ron DeSantis will win re-election by at least +6 percentage points. May be closer to—perhaps even reach—+10. This is due to both his popularity and that the midterm elections of 2022 are going to be wave in favor of his political party.

I anticipate Ohio’s Mike DeWine will get re-elected by a similar level in percentage-points margin.

You gotta be kidding me DeSantis won by 0.5 against a Socialist Afro Americans do you know the polls have been all over the place Crist plus 3 DeSantis plus 16 and DeSantis plus 11 I like how users think that just because they make a declaration the race is Over, 🚫

I am not Donating but Crist like all Red state D have 1/3 Rd of a chance of winning as I see it and no one says Ron Johnson is out of it in blue state WI he only has 1)3 Rd of a chance to win because he never ran with Evers he ran with Walker

Barnes and Fetterman have 2/3rds of a chance of beating Oz and Johnson, the Rs only won by 200 K votes and Walker isn't up by 10 in blue state GA if Abrams is up by 1, polls are blaming the gas prices on Biden that's why their numbers are inflated

I need to see more polling but they only poll NY Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

BLAH, BLAH, BLA, BLAH just do your civic duty and vote just like I will there is no R wave until w vote

We can all make up polls until we get a result did you know D's won less votes than we did in 2019 we won 80 M votes we didn't win that in 2017 EITHER

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

…
Barnes and Fetterman have 2/3rds of a chance of beating Oz and Johnson, …

Pennsylvania U.S. Senate will end up retained by the Republicans while they win majority control pickup of the upper chamber of Congress.

I anticipate the 2022 Democrats will not flip any U.S. Senate seats currently in the column for the Republicans.

BLAH BLAH BLA BLAH