WSJ Poll has Webb up 1.3% over Allen (user search)
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  WSJ Poll has Webb up 1.3% over Allen (search mode)
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Author Topic: WSJ Poll has Webb up 1.3% over Allen  (Read 2296 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: August 28, 2006, 02:10:58 PM »
« edited: August 28, 2006, 02:21:27 PM by overton »
I remember Zogby having Ford up in TN last month and we saw where that went. He tends to overstate polls in the long shot states of TN and VA. But anything is possible when Bush poll numbers are this low. Rasmussen has the balance of power in the Senate aas 50-47R and 3 tossups and TN and VA are still leaning towards the Republicans right now.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2006, 11:11:30 PM »
No, it doesn't suck, they are were good his 2004 polls had a 269 all tie and that is very good it was close to the national average.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2006, 07:09:08 AM »
It's not a toss up, because he had Ford ahead last month over Corker and you saw where that went. Until there is a public poll that backs it up, I don't believe it is a tossup, it is lean at best. Don't forget in 2004, he said VA was too close to call and VA was a landslide for Bush.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2006, 11:16:15 PM »
I think it is within the margin of error, I think Webb is down between 3-5 points. Zogby overstated polls like he did in TN last month. But he is well within the margin of error. The Dems will have to give him more funds than just rely on the off the cuff statement to get him through this battle.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2006, 07:59:22 AM »
It is within the margin of error, the Webb was behind by 3 points in the latest Survey USA poll and Webb is up by 1.3%, it is within the margin of error.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: August 30, 2006, 10:06:52 AM »
« Edited: August 30, 2006, 10:09:51 AM by overton »
The margin of error is 3-5 percent that is exactly within the margin of error. I am not going by the margin of error of the Zogby polls I am going by the Survey USA poll and the margin of error in that poll is 4 percent.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: August 30, 2006, 12:38:52 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2006, 12:45:09 PM by overton »
You say it isn't within the margin of error, who cares the race is competetive and anyone can win right now. It is more competetive than it was before, and Webb can win. And all Zogby polls are showing is that Webb can win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2006, 12:46:01 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2006, 12:47:50 PM by overton »
Who cares if the margin of error is off, but the race is competetive and Webb can win and all that it is showing is that he can win. You dispute me on when I say the race is within the margin of error but you don't dispute the original pollster that says this. No, I am not going to take a statistics class the margin of error is not 3 it ranges from 3-5 points whoever told you that is wrong.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: August 30, 2006, 12:51:58 PM »
Quote from: Senator Virginian87 on August 28, 2006, 01:52:53 PM
If you include the margin of error (3.2%), this poll is consistent with the other recent Webb/Allen polls showing Webb down by 3 or 5.
Here is the quote by the origin pollster it is consistent with the margin of error. If you have a gripe with me you should have a grip with him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,591
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: August 30, 2006, 05:04:18 PM »
He may not be in the lead but this race is going to be more competetive than originally thought and Zogby may show him in the lead but the race is tightening, he may not be in the lead but all zogby is showing a tight race.
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