OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think having Tim Ryan as the Senate candidate and someone like Kevin Boyce as the gubernatorial candidate would boost the fortunes of both.  Maybe not enough to push either over the finish line, but still...I like Ryan's odds a lot more if he's running alongside a complementary candidate for governor.

Trust me, you don't want Boyce anywhere near the statewide ticket.  The guy is an Ed FitzGerald waiting to happen.  Of the folks who've been discussed as candidates, John Cranley seems like our best bet as insurance in case DeWine loses his primary to some clown like Renacci or even Warren Davidson.

How about John Boccieri?

Boccieri couldn’t even win his own state senate district in 2018, his career in elected office is over.

Man, Ohio Democrats are in sorry shape.  It's hard to even identify promising up-and-comers.  Yech!

They were flying high in the late 2000s, but got totally crushed in 2010 and just haven't recovered since.

You are wrong Sherrod Brown is still our Senator, just like in 2018/ in a big enough wave Tim Ryan can win and DeWine can win by split voting. Again Mandel is a weak opponent


Just like polls are showing weakness with DeSantis and Rubio holding firm, Rs don't have a monopoly on OH, IA, FL and NC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1379059064680894468?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7...

It would seem as though Republicans have the momentum for 2022. Of course, that's to be expected.

Why does Snowlabrador support Rs, Pelosi, Schumer and Back Dem gave you 2K Stimulus, the only reason why OH was so R in the 2010s was Boehner, You saw the polls Mandel and Rs are having trouble to either Acton or Ryan

Pelosi just gave you 2K the Rs wanted 1K and Johnson objected earlier

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You can put it Safe R on your Prediction and I will put it D next yr on my prediction, no harm done, that's that

When Dave finally puts out the maps and score our previous ones

We don't have the 2021 maps yet

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ryan needs a clear field anyways as Josh Mandel is weak enough to cause a split like in 2018 D's winning Senate and Rs winning the Gov race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bummer Acton isn’t running, but Safe R -> Safe R

I disagree, we can win this race, why are Ds so pessimistic on FL and OH, poll showed DeSantis tied and he beat only an Afro American Socialisic and Mandel was statistically tied with Ryan

The Gov race and s safe R with DeWine

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I would ask "with Acton now out of the race what is Olawakandi's next obsession going to be?" And it appears to be the whole "Desantis only barely beat an 'afro-Socialist'" thing.

I have always said there can be split voting and I also said it can be a 3-5 pt PVI victory, D's need to do marginally better than 3 in order to keep House and Jackson and Ryan are Great candidates

D's netting WI, PA, OH, NC and winning KS, AZ and FL Gov races.

Split races DeWine, Ryan, FL Rubio/CRIST, WARNOCK/Kemp, NH Hassan/Ayotte for Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1379503137552281600

So Tim Ryan is pretty much going to be unopposed in the primary now,  maybe that raises his chances in the general from 10% to 11%.

Why do people assume Ryan has no chance, it's called split voting just like Sherrod Brown was able to do on 2018

No one on our side really wants to challenge DeWibe, that's why we can beat Mandel, Mandel is statistically tied with Ryan

Just like GA can split vote between Kemp and Warnock and Rubio and Charlie Crist


D's must do everything to stop Mandel and DeSantis from being elected again. Muhammad Child was caught praising DeSantis who isn't that good looking and he is another R that wants tax cuts like Trump for the rich

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Where are the polls in NC, OH and FL they must be Lean R, the DSCC aren't releasing any internals, it's early but they release WI

Also no polling at all on PA, either

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Where are the polls in NC, OH and FL they must be Lean R, the DSCC aren't releasing any internals, it's early but they release WI

Also no polling at all on PA, either

If you believe these crap Internal Polls from the DSCC you are waaay out of your mind.

Republicans will hold Wisconsin and Evers will be defeated as well.

Lmao, all those races are competitive

You really think that D's are gonna win every single race and have a ,60% percent approvals, is beyond me, weren't we told we were gonna have a Supermajority Senate last time

Remember Biden plus 14 numbers, yeah that turned out really well for D's.

Dems are probably gonna get 50/52 seats not 55 or 60

Not saying D's aren't gonna keep control of Senate but Biden alone said he was gonna solve Covid and he is at 52 RV and 49LV not 60

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Snowlabrador doesn't realize in a 53/47 Senate GA, WI, NH, PA, NC and OH are all in play in a D plus 3.1% Election like they won the PVI last time

Yes, I am donating to Jeff Jackson whom has the best chance even better than WARNOCK as wave insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Need to see polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Since Rs don't want to hold Cruz, Hawley and Gaetz Accountable, they can keep them, but it's prudent for voters in a VBM Election to ensure the Rs stay the minority party and in a 3.0/5.0 PVI OH will vote D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Endorsed, D's best chance for a 53rd seat lies in OH not NC or FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This seat is much more likely to flip than D's winning NC or FL since Cheri Beasley is gonna win the Primary in NC not JACKSON

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tim Ryan isn't going to win. In fact, no Democrat (except for Sherrod Brown) will win a statewide race in Ohio for the foreseeable future.

Don't you know that PVI if it's 3.0 D's win WI, PA, NH, GA and OH with 53/47 Senate, last poll had a tie with Ryan and all the Rs

What the Ds can write off is NC, Beasley is too left wing if she is nominated to beat McCrory, since she leads Jackson, we must watch out for IA, Sand can win as well, against Grassley, IA and OH usually votes together

There maybe split voting like in 2018 between DeWine and Sherrod Brown, Rubio, CRIST, WARNOCK and Kemp and Hassan and Ayotte

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well Abrams hasn't announced yet but she would win when she does

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This seat is much more likely to flip than D's winning NC or FL since Cheri Beasley is gonna win the Primary in NC not JACKSON

Lolololololololololololololololololololololol


Imagine being so delusional that you actually have faith in Ohio still lol. The Republicans will win this by like 15, and then everyone will pretend that they saw it coming.

S019 doesn't believe in blue waves, the reason why we didn't have one in 2020 AK,, KS, MT and TX were in the oil industry

WI, PA, NH, OH, IA don't have oil

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If it's a 54/46 Senate D's win WI, PA, IA, NH, GA and OH, the Ds, D's are gonna nominate Beasley whom is a Socialisic Afro American instead of nominating Jackson, Sand would be a better wave insurance candidate

Kelly doesn't need help, just like last time, he has record fundraising, I would donate to Ryan and Sand

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ryan will win he is very popular with Afro Americans and the state will split it's votes between DeWine and Ryan just like it did in 2018

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Atlas needs to see polls of Ohio, like the ones where Biden was beating Trump in this state which had a 7 point error from its polling average.

And let me guess, this is all because of "good candidate" Tim Ryan and "bad candidate" JD Vance or Josh Mandel?

Title is just a parody of an olawakandi post. Not everything fits your "every Dem on this forum is a crazy hack!" narrative

Ryan was leading in a poll excuse me, I am not a hack every D pollster got 2020 wrong including Xing where he put FL and NC on his map, WRONG

That was hackish

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This seat is winnable now since DeWine is gonna lose in the primary I know it's a tough state but we need this seat to get to 53 to ensure DC Statehood, I don't trust Tested, Sinema or Manchin when it comes to Filibuster reform again in next session of Congress

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tim Ryan has to be the Favorite here even if Renacci wins the Gov Race, this will give D's 53 seats enough to break Filibuster, this is a must win for us

OH did split its votes in 2018, in a D 9 Election and we are ahead by 9 on Generic ballot, for Brown and Moderate DeWine

In addition OH hasn't Elected a female SEN or GOV and Sutton ran for Lt Gov and lost Whaley won't win

PA hasn't Elected a female SEN or GOV either and Hillary did exceptionally poorly in both states and that's why Strickland lost by 20 instead of 10 pts

I take PPP at it's word showing Ryan competetive

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sure S109 nothing you say will change my thinking when I get my Prediction map 60% Ryan, and 60% Renacci

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Alot of polls are fundraising and it's a 303 EC map but D's need to Expand the map to win the H, WI, PA, GA and NH don't have alot of competetive House races to secure the H, and we don't have polls we can assume anything until we get polls from NC, IA, OH and FL right

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

When are we gonna see a poll from OH, IA and NC SEN they are teasing us without polls

We only had one poll and it showed Amy Action leading narrowly